From Vertical AI to the Age of Intelligence: How the Next Tech Revolution Is Redefining Humanity
1. A Tale of Two Conversations
A few days ago, I found myself riveted by two very different but strangely connected discussions. The first was a lively debate about vertical AI agents—highly specialized systems that not only assist humans in specific workflows but can often replace entire teams outright. Think automated QA testers, AI-driven marketing strategists, or full-fledged customer support chatbots that handle complex scenarios end-to-end. The consensus was startling: we’re seeing a shift from “software plus people” to “software as the people,” making some roles either partially or fully redundant. For example, customer support teams have been significantly impacted, with AI chatbots now handling not just basic inquiries but complex problem-solving tasks traditionally requiring human agents. It echoed the explosive SaaS revolution, except the stakes seemed far higher.
Then came a fascinating interview with Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, on the near-future leaps toward AGI—artificial general intelligence. His vision was bold: within “thousands of days,” we could see superintelligent systems that outstrip most human capabilities. Where others might tread carefully, Sam spoke with unflinching conviction that the current pace of AI development might actually increase, compounding into uncharted territory. Together, these two conversations sparked a broader realization. While vertical AI is already here, AGI may not be that far behind. The implications are profound, touching on our economic systems, social fabric, and even spirituality.
2. Vertical AI: Replacing Teams, Rewriting the Rules
Let’s start with vertical AI—the more immediate development. During that first conversation, I heard case after case of hyper-focused AI startups automating tasks that, until recently, only well-trained humans could do. One founder’s project replaced an entire QA department by having an intelligent bot generate, run, and interpret tests. Another’s AI handled debt collection with empathetic voice calls, reducing the need for sprawling call centers.
The parallel to SaaS was clear: just as cloud software replaced “boxed” enterprise solutions by enabling scalability, accessibility, and cost efficiency, these vertical AI products replace entire people functions in similarly transformative ways. For instance, Salesforce revolutionized CRM by providing scalable, cloud-based tools that disrupted on-premise software systems, setting a precedent for how industries adapt to specialized SaaS solutions. If the lion’s share of business costs lies in salaries rather than software, the potential impact is exponential. Yet unlike general-purpose AI tools (or older, broad “platform” solutions), vertical AI thrives by getting into the weeds of specific workflows. Whether it’s legal contract review, medical billing, or high-frequency trading, a deep understanding of the domain—combined with advanced language or speech models—means a single agent can handle tasks that used to require specialized employees.
A key takeaway was conviction. Companies that focus on one vertical, master its complexities and move quickly can outpace incumbents whose slow corporate cycles prevent swift adaptation. While these upstarts might be small today, they pose an existential threat to traditional enterprises—even more so than the classic SaaS disruption did.
3. The Age of Intelligence: Sam Altman’s Vision
From the realm of specialized AI, the conversation pivoted to Sam Altman’s predictions of AGI. OpenAI’s bet on scaling large language models—a seemingly narrow strategy at first—has paid off with GPT-4’s impressive capabilities. Yet to Sam, we’re still at the dawn of something far more transformative. He sees no immediate wall that prevents models from becoming truly superintelligent. It’s not guaranteed, of course, but the trajectory suggests an era where AI systems can not only solve complex tasks but generate entirely new ideas, scientific theories, or even societal frameworks.
If vertical AI is the present, AGI is a plausible (and startling) near-future. The big question: What happens when these systems surpass humans at most economically valuable tasks? The implications for startups and incumbents alike are enormous. Over the past decades, we’ve watched big tech companies miss new platform shifts—mobile, social media, and on-demand services. If AGI becomes the next shift, smaller, laser-focused innovators might gain a staggering lead before the giants fully pivot.
4. From First Principles to Ripples of Change
To make sense of these conversations, I turned to a first-principles analysis. Strip away the surface hype, and you will find a few bedrock truths:
When we extend these fundamentals to society, second-order and third-order effects emerge. In the short term, entire job roles may vanish even faster than predicted. New entrepreneurial opportunities pop up, but skill gaps could widen if education and policy fail to keep pace. For instance, workers in roles susceptible to automation may struggle to transition without targeted reskilling programs, and industries may face shortages of AI-savvy talent. Policymakers could address this by incentivizing AI education, funding retraining initiatives, and fostering public-private partnerships to bridge these gaps. In the longer run, how we define work, identity, and value itself might shift. If AI can handle logistics, creativity, and analysis, what’s left for us? It’s the perennial question that surfaces with each disruptive technology—except this time, the scale is unprecedented.
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5. Cultural and Psychological Shifts
Despite our accelerating technology, some human needs never change. We crave love, companionship, meaning, and a sense of belonging. AI might simplify or complicate how we fulfill these needs, but it won’t negate them:
6. Faith and Core Beliefs in an AI World
Perhaps more surprising: religion and spirituality aren’t going away. Instead, they’re evolving:
At root, the human quest for meaning, purpose, and moral guidance remains. Throughout history, humans have adapted to new technologies, from the printing press to the internet, by finding ways to integrate these tools into their search for understanding. Similarly, AI has the potential to reshape but not erase this quest, offering opportunities to explore purpose in entirely new dimensions. Just like the printing press or television, AI might reorder how faith is practiced and shared, but it won’t dissolve humanity’s spiritual impulse.
7. Where This Might Take Us
8. Conviction with Responsibility
In both conversations—on vertical AI and on AGI—a single theme stood out: conviction combined with responsibility. Yes, we should move boldly. Yes, AI can spawn incredible startups and transform centuries-old industries. But along the way, leaders must be vigilant about unintended consequences, from workforce displacement to ethical misalignment.
9. The Story Continues
These two conversations opened my eyes to a sweeping technological wave. Vertical AI shows how quickly specialized systems can reshape entire professions. Meanwhile, Sam Altman’s vision points toward a horizon where AI may become a near-equal—or even superior—cognitive partner, pushing us to rethink commerce, community, and consciousness itself.
Yet, through it all, one certainty endures: humanity’s core drives—love, creativity, moral judgment—don’t vanish; they adapt. We have faced monumental shifts before and found ways to preserve what matters most. This time, the scale is larger, and the stakes higher, but so is our capacity for innovation and empathy.
The question, then, is not whether AI will transform our world. It’s how we’ll guide that transformation—and who we choose to become in the process. Will we embrace its potential responsibly, ensuring it uplifts humanity, or let it deepen divides? Business leaders hold the power to shape this transformation—by fostering innovation, prioritizing ethical use, and leading with a commitment to societal impact. The answer lies in our collective choices starting today.
CEO Supply Chain Leader/ Operation Expert
4dתודה על השיתוף.
Insightful breakdown of vertical AI's immediate disruption and AGI's profound future potential, Nir Cohen!
HR Shared Services & Strategy Leader | GPHR®, SHRM-SCP®, GRCP, GRCA, IAAP, ICEP, IRMP Certified | Expert in People Operations, EX, & HR Transformation | Scaling Start-Ups for Success | ICF UAE Charter Chapter Ambassador
4dNir Cohen, aI's impact on industries is profound, sparking discussions around ethics and adaptation. How can we ensure a balanced approach to its integration?
Transforming Businesses | AI & Marketing Consultant | Strategic Growth Advisor
4dNir Cohen, this is such a thought-provoking perspective on the transformative power of AI. 🌟
Nir Cohen, like chess masters of innovation, we must think several moves ahead with AI.