The Impact of Higher Interest Rates on the Economy - AI Edition
Welcome to part two of my AI experiment! Over the next few weeks, I’m letting AI take over to inform, educate, and maybe even entertain you.
I handed a few of my essays to Notebook LM, Google’s AI tool, and asked it to turn them into a radio show-style dialogue between two hosts. My instructions were simple: “Here’s my essay. I’m taking a break. Educate and entertain my readers.”
You can read the original essay here. Share your thoughts and pass it along to friends, enemies, or random strangers.
In this conversation, our AI friends will explore how rising interest rates are reshaping our economy after years of near-zero rates. Using the analogy of gravity, we'll examine how this shift affects everything from housing to government debt, and what it means for investors. The impacts are still unfolding, making this discussion as relevant today as when I wrote it last summer.
You have to listen to Mozart’s Piano Concerto Number 21, part 2.” Those were my father’s words. He just heard it on the radio and could not wait to tell me about it. This was over twenty-five years ago, but I still remember this moment as though it were today. I could hear the excitement in his voice and see the glow on his usually placid face. I went to the store, bought the tape (this was a long time ago), and suddenly I could relate to his excitement. It was music out of this world.
This is what is amazing about classical music. Mozart wrote this concerto in 1786. My father (and then I) heard it in 1993, 207 years (eight generations) later. And today, almost 25 years (a generation) later, 231 years after it was originally composed, I am writing about it to you, my dear reader, as if it was composed just yesterday.
I’ll play this concerto to my kids in the car today when I drive them to school, and their lives will get a bit brighter thanks to this amazing music. I cannot really put my finger on it, but there is something magical about the ability of classical music to slip into our lives and leave its mark on them. As I think about my relationship with my father, to us classical music is what sports may be to other fathers and sons – a point of connection. My father and I sit together in front of Youtube and listen to classical music for hours.
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Vitaliy Katsenelson, CFA
I am the CEO at IMA, an investment firm that designs all-terrain portfolios that survive the worst markets and thrive in good ones. (Get our company brochure in your inbox here, or simply visit our website).
In a brief moment of senility, Forbes magazine called me “the new Benjamin Graham.”
I’ve written two books on investing, which were published by John Wiley & Sons and have been translated into eight languages. (But you can learn the basics of my approach to investing by reading the 6 Commandments of Value Investing.
My first non-investing book, Soul in the Game, is available to order here. You can get 4 entirely new chapters (not found in the book) by forwarding your purchase receipt to bonus@soulinthegame.net.
And if you prefer listening, audio versions of my articles are published weekly at investor.fm.
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1wVitaliy Katsenelson, CFA thanks for sharing the recording. Curious about the results: did you check the accuracy of the conversation against your essay?