A JORC24 Review of a Resource Announcement
I mentioned Everest Mining Corporation (ASX:EMC) for their recent Mt Edon Rubidium Mineral Resource Estimate on the statement regarding RC drill recovery. However, I have read the announcement a bit deeper and I was wondering, how would this Public Report have to be modified under the incoimg JORC24 regulations? How would I critically review the work of the CP involved, to assist with meeting JORC24?
I will deal with some of my critical questions in no particular order.
But first, I would like to start off by saying this is a critical review. It's not me speaking to the quality of the resource published by EMC, or whether the company is fibbing in any way or not; I will stay silent on my opinions about rubidium as a commodity or the Mt Edon Project itself.
Secondly, I am not qualified to determine whether the work of the CP is good, bad, or fantastic. Mr Rashidi has signed the MRE, and I have no skills and have not reviewed it beyond what is released publicly. We should consider that Mr Rashidi is best placed to determine the Resource exists, and accept it as a fact that there is approximately 3.6 million tonnes of pegmatite and it contains approximately 0.22% Rb2O. The resource classification is Inferred and this appears reasonable given the work performed to date.
The Resource is reported under the JORC Code 2012 edition. EMC would not, ordinarily, be required to re-report the Resource under the incoming JORC 2024 standards unless a change in Material assumptions occurs.
As such, I will assess what I believe would be required under the incoming JORC 2024 Code. So let's see how I go, and I will be interested to see if I'm being unfairly persnickety, or missed a bunch of factors.
The Resource
Reasonable Prospects of Eventual Economic Extraction
8.2 Mineral Resources must satisfy the requirement that there are reasonable prospects for economic extraction (i.e., more likely than not), regardless of the classification of the Mineral Resource. Reasonable prospects analysis must reference any available material Modifying Factor data.
More likely than not is a big hurdle for Mt Edon given it is such a niche commodity, with a tiny market, and the metallurgy is so novel and unproven. Personally, if one has 20 years experience, one would conclude it is more unlikely than likely that Mt Edon would ever be mined, especially given how little is defined about it. But that's my opinion.
First off the mark is rubidium (Rb) as a commodity underpinning the RPEEE. EMC has been exploring Mt Edon as a source of Rb. Rubidium is about as niche a commodity as one can imagine, with ~4,000kg-6,000kg (depending on what one googles) per annum market, with prices quoted by EMC at US$1,200/kg.
Whilst JORC24 counsells strongly against this, 7,900t of contained Rb at the prices quoted is about US$9.8B, in 3.4Mt of mineralisation. This is $2,600/t of contained metal value, or about an ounce dirt in Au equivalency (which JORC24 counsells against indulging in this sort of maths). Despite not being encouraged to think in these terms, this illegal thinking does support the Beer Coasterological assessment that the lemon has enough juice to squeeze.
RPEEE for Mt Edon relies upon, philosophically, an argument that
then it is reasonable to assume that Rb may eventually be extracted economically.
I think this is an extremely nested set of assumptions that EMC has not fully developed in order to demonstrate RPEEE given;
Note section 8.11;
Where untested practices or emerging technologies are applied in the determination of reasonable prospects, the use of the proposed practices for reporting the Mineral Resource must be discussed and justified by the Competent Person in the Public Report.
The emerging technology is the novel hydrometallurgical process under development at the MRRC at Edith Cowan University. This process, which has not demonstrated nett recovery, or cost of recovery (publicly) is clearly immature. JORC24 s8.11, and others, requires that this be explicitly discussed.
RPEEE should be defined by Modifying Factors as discussed in JORC24;
4.7 ‘Modifying Factors’ are considerations used to assess and estimate Exploration Targets, Mineral Resources, and/or Ore Reserves. Modifying Factors include, but are not restricted to mining, processing, metallurgical, infrastructure, economic, marketing, legal, environmental, social and governance (ESG) and regulatory factors.
These Modifying Factors are dealt with by the Company in turn.
Mining
The Mt Edon resource has outcrop or occurs close to surface and will be amenable to opencut mining, with the information suggesting a low stripping ratio. The assumed mining method is conventional truck and shovel, open pit mining at an appropriate bench height. Since the resource drilling is open ended, further drilling will extend the mineralisation beyond the current boundaries of the maiden mineral resource. The Company believes there are no mining factors which affect the assumption that the deposit has reasonable prospects for mining.
This is an interesting statement: No mining factors affect the assumption that the deposit has reasonable prospects for mining.
Several concerns arise here;
I would think that this paragraph could use some improvement to comply with JORC24;
4.8 The effects of Modifying Factor variability on the reasonable prospects for economic extraction of a Mineral Resource, or on the likely economic viability and/or on the estimation and classification of an Ore Reserve, must be disclosed and discussed.
There is no discussion of variability of any Modifying Factor. This is especially pertinent given the wholly (partially? you judge) incomplete metallurgical recovery test work with no nett recovery factors, no chemical purity or chemical form (RbCl, RbOH, Rb2SO4, Rb-formate?) etcetera.
Recovery will have a huge effect on the volume of material required to produce the targeted amount of Rb product, and the target Rb chemical. If EMC cannot demonstrate an ability to produce Rb formate, for example, it could be unable to supply it.
Metallurgy
EMC is proposing a set of strategies to extract Rb from minerals (muscovite and/or feldspars) via MRRC at ECU. The metallurgical announcement 24th July 2024 elucidates this as being beaker-scale tests in a laboratory. A full metallurgical flow sheet has not been proposed yet.
Recovery varies by method. Non-destructive (presumably a leach) recovery 41% and destrutive (presumably a front-end calcination followed by leach) has 75% +/- 10%. No preferred processing strategy is elided. Therefore, no recoervy factor can be attributed to the MRE as the company has not locked down their proposed flow sheet.
Is this sufficient to determine RPEEE? That's a question indeed. I believe that the RPEEE here is in the 'beaker half full' type. If we did not all have a beaker half full mentality we would not progress. I think that Inferred is fair enough given the state of metallurgy here, but JORC24 will require additional clarity and discussion of metallurgical risks.
Geotechnical Risk
Geotechnical risk in pegmatite mining tends to be low, as far as my opinion goes. However, no geotechnical holes have been explicitly cited, as we can therefore presume none have been drilled. For an Inferred Resource prior to even a scoping study, this is acceptable, but geotechnical risks should at least be discussed. Geotechnical drilling is not mentioned in the Next Steps for the project as proposed by EMC.
Risks Opportunities and Threats
4.11 Material risks and potential impacts of a Modifying Factor must be disclosed. Refer to the requirements contained in Clauses 5.4 to 5.7.
5.4 The Competent Person must consider all identified Risks related to the reported Exploration Targets, Mineral Resources, and Ore Reserves, analyse the potential effects, and likelihood of impacts on the technical or economic viability of Exploration Targets, Mineral Resources, and Ore Reserves, and evaluate which Opportunities and/ or Threats are material. The Competent Person must ensure that the discussion is appropriately balanced.
There is likely insufficient discussion of risks, opportunities and threats in the announcement.
5.6 Public Reporting of initial or materially changed Exploration Targets, Mineral Resources, and Ore Reserves must disclose and describe material Opportunities and Threats.
There are, of course, a plethora of risks, but some appear to be glaring omissions and others appear left out due to incomplete work. The "if not/why not" principle should see these risks discussed.
I would think that statements such as the below would be required under JORC24;
Under JORC24 these sort of discussions are not optional;
5.6 Public Reporting of initial or materially changed Exploration Targets, Mineral Resources, and Ore Reserves must disclose and describe material Opportunities and Threats.
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8.13 Where the Mineral Resource being reported is predominantly an Inferred Mineral Resource, sufficient supporting information must be provided to enable the reader to evaluate and assess the risk associated with the reported Mineral Resource.
Geology
EMC cites a considerable body of work on mineralogy, both in the discussion of the deposit and in the Mining And Metallurgical Factors section, page 12-13. However, these results are only described, not demonstrated.
The geology of the deposit is very poorly demonstrated via "appropriate maps and cross sections". The overview geology map is OK, but the JORC resource shape isn't a box, and the MGA Zone is not quoted (it's zone 50, FYI, because it's near Paynes Find, but that may not be obvious).
There are cross sections of the block model, but no context from geology to see how the block model is constrained by geology. Holes on the block model are not labelled, so the block model cannot be compared to the parent holes. The thickness of this isometric view is also not defined, and is likely quite thick given the orientations of holes and drilling.
A section from an EMC announcement released September 2023 (figure 2, page 5) is shown below;
7.13 Clear diagrams and maps designed to represent the geological context must be included in the Public Report. These must include, but not be limited to, a plan view of drill hole collar locations and appropriate sectional views. All figures, diagrams, maps, and graphs must include clear, legible images, and appropriate legend, north arrow, scale bar(s), coordinate system(s) and grids.
Nowhere does the fact that the drill holes are, mostly, oriented down dip of a (folded?) pegmatite dyke(s) get mentioned. This has implications for the true thickness of the dykes, which is not discussed in the MRE announcement, nor in the precending stock market announcements about drilling. Adding to this confusion is the lack of dip symbols on the overview map. However it is clear from the isosurface wireframe view (Figure 1, MRE announcement page 3) that this is the case.
7.11 If true widths of mineralisation are not reported, an appropriate qualification must be included in the Public Report.
This may seem nitpicky, but there is a lack of a clear geological cross section. It is also interesting to note that the higher grade Rb (>0.35%) shows a horizontal orientation. There is no explanation for this feature, including whether this is due to oxidation or top of fresh rock interfaces, or structural, or mineralogical.
7.5 Reporting of selected information such as geological observations, isolated assays, isolated drill holes, assays of panned concentrates, visual estimates, or results from supergene-enriched soils or surface samples, without placing them in perspective and providing adequate discussion of significance is unacceptable.
Is avoiding discussion of dip and orientation of the pegmatites a deselection of relevant information? I think it is. But again, that's just my opinion, man.
This drives at Section 8.28;
8.28 In a Public Report of a Mineral Resource for a material mining project, when reporting for the first time, or when those estimates have materially changed from when they were last reported (including classification changes), a Mineral Resources Technical Summary must be included in the body of the Public Report.
The detail provided in the EMC announcement is relatively detailed excepting for these aspects of the geology identified above. This may pass JORC24, but I for one would expect that drilling down dip, and the impact on interpretations, be discussed explicitly.
Approvals
As mentioned previously, geotechnical work is required in the future. JORC24 requires future work to be appropriately discussed. This includes approvals.
8.26 Public Reports of Mineral Resources must transparently disclose any subset of the total declaration by category, where necessary approvals have not been granted. The Competent Person shall describe the risks, work program(s) and anticipated timeline to obtain outstanding approvals.
EMC discusses this in their Project Development Schedule section; "Metallurgical test work for Rb extraction is ongoing at ECU’s Mineral Recovery Research Centre (“MRRC”). EMC is planning environmental studies, including Flora and Fauna assessments, and is preparing the necessary documentation for the Mining Proposal. The Company aims to obtain all required approvals by the end of 2025."
This is likely an insufficient level of discussion under JORC24, as it does not discuss Risks, Opportunities, and Threats.
For example, under JORC24 I would expect that the approvals process needs to be discussed (especially for Inferred Resources, see s8.13) in greater detail, for example;
EMC has not yet completed flora and fauna surveys, and it is unclear whether heritage and ethnographic surveys in support of and allowing of mining have been completed; this seems unlikely given the mine site layout, waste dumps, tails dams, etc have not been defined. This is fine for an Inferred Resource, but these areas of risk (ie; that no waste rock dump site is available, or it may be available but uneconomic to dump it there, etc) need to be explicitly dealt with.
ESG
JORC24 requires that ESG be dealt with more thoroughly than under JORC 2012;
4.9 ESG factors must be given equal prominence to other Modifying Factors. This requirement acknowledges the nature of evolving knowledge in these areas and requires that the available and material knowledge at any reporting stage is applied in the Public Report.
4.10 All Public Reports of Exploration Targets, Exploration Results, Mineral Resources, Ore Reserves and Technical Studies must include the consideration and reporting of the ESG factors that could have a material effect on the outcome of the exploration assessment, project, or operation.
One ESG factor which is discussed is the lack of interaction with national parks or other reserves. "The tenement is in good standing and no known impediments exist. The Competent Person has not verified any potential social or environmental pediments (sic) to progressing the Project." This is like saying you haven't done your homework, so you don't know if you've passed the class. If no surveys have been done, then this should be stated. If they have been, then this should be stated. If the CP or Company is just assuming no impediments exist, this assumption is a Material assumption, and would be required to be stated.
The announcement does not explicitly state ESG factors. These are dealt with in part via discussion of flora and fauna surveys (to be performed by 2025), but are not in equal prominence to other Modifying Factors.
Crucially, for 2024 post-ACHA, there is no mention of Native Title, not even whether it exists or has been extinguished. This is a clear Risk that is undefined and not discussed. In a modern Western Australian context, we cannot presume that none exists and ignore it (the if not/why not). This would be a clear omission under JORC24.
Equal ESG prominence is a tricky one to evaluate ahead of other examples under JORC24, but given there is somewhat limited to very limited discussion of some modifying factors (eg; metallurgy, marketing risk) the fact ESG is likely under done would probably be treated in equal prominence.
If JORC24 would cause additional disclosures around Risks, Opportunities, Threats, and therefore more thorough discussion of metallurgy as a Modifying Factor, then ESG would have to be discussed in greater detail (a rising tide lifts all boats).
Table 1 & 2 Comments
There are some things I find difficult to follow in the Table 1 and 2.
Conclusions for JORC24
Everest Metals Corporation, with Mr Bahman Rashidi, the Competent Person, have met the standards required to estimate and report a Maiden Inferred rubidium resource at Mt Edon under the JORC Code 2012.
Like all Maiden Mineral Resources, there are a plethora of improvements to be made and data to be generated and collected, before the current Inferred Mineral Resource can increase in quality and continuity to be upgraded to Indicated.
These deficiencies are common and normal for early stage projects and companies and individuals must balance budgets with seeking perfection in estimation, and often many other factors limit the quality of the work one would wish to do.
Everest Metals Corporation is working with, I presume, land access constraints, budgetary constraints, and a boutique commodity requiring a novel metallurgical process, in order to realise value from the rubidium mineralisation. A Maiden MRE is an important first step in the process.
Further resource upgrade reporting will likely occur under the incoming JORC 2024 Code, which has been put out in exposure draft form. This critical review has highlighted a selection of disclosure opportunities to bring a JORC 2012 compliant Mineral Resource up to standard with the JORC 2024 Code. We should not judge this as anything except an example of the work required to draft a Public Report in the incoming JORC 2024.
Chief amongst these is the incoming Risks, Opportunities and Threats disclosure, which will determine increased discussion of risks, and require thorough deliberations and exposition of material matters. As it stands as a JORC 2012 Inferred Resource, re-reporting an extension to Mt Edon or an upgrade to Indicated or Measured, will see a considerable expansion of the length of the disclosure.
Secondly, ESG matters will gain strong prominence under JRC 2024. The current MRE disclosure under JORC 2012 will need significant work, so that investors will be able to full appreciate the work required to gain approvals and permitting, assess the proposed timeline to a Mining Proposal or Approval, and understand the quantum of work (and money) required.
To-Do List
Mining at Mining
6moThanks Roland very good points. I have made some suggestions to the JORX committee myself
Secretary General, International Raw Materials Observatory
6moVery good points! Thanks for raising them.
JORC-like standards should exist for Govt sponsored projects.
Retired Geologist
6moThe most disgusting rubbish announcements have been allowed under Jorc12! I complained to the AIMM about cartoon drawings, no advice of a 15m at 17% Cu RC hole being 6m away from new discovery of 15m at 15%!’ I was told we are not policeman! Section 1 allows complete BS in the report to get out!
Resource Geologist (MAusIMM,Pr.sci.Nat,MSc.Eng)
6moThank you Roland, very insightful.