Is the "Lock-In" Effect of 2023 Fading?

Is the "Lock-In" Effect of 2023 Fading?

Q: What is the “Lock in effect”??

A. An unwillingness on the part of homeowners to trade in their lower-rate mortgages for higher ones.

Here’s where this trend stands today:

In Q3 2023, fewer Americans had mortgages below 6% than in 2022 due to moving. And what causes people to move regardless of interest rates? Major life events, including the 5 D's: diapers, diplomas, diamonds, divorce, & death.

  • Between Q3 2022 and Q3 2023, more homeowners chose to move, accepting higher mortgage rates.
  • The lock-in effects still contributes to inventory shortages, but listings have started to rise due to slightly lower rates (under the 8% peak of 2023).
  • Homeowners with historically lower mortgage rates (between 3% and 4%) are more likely to “suffer from” the lock-in effect than those with rates between 5% and 6%.

Rather than focusing on the rate, I’m telling buyers to focus on the affordability of the monthly payment.

If you want to talk about buying — and what it would take to get you in a home of your own, schedule a 15 minute discovery call with me. You can shoot me a quick text or private message. I’d love to connect.

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