The Most Valuable Fan
Who’s the most valuable fan in sports these days? This is actually a pretty easy question, but I'll give you three hints:
Of course, it’s Taylor Swift. There are estimates that she generated more than $300 million of value for the Kansas City Chiefs last season. Here are estimates of the media value she generated, just at the Big Game :
Beyond the sensation of a star like Taylor Swift making such a tremendous impact on even a sports-juggernaut like the NFL, there are deeper implications for the future of sports and a unique opportunity to change the the way leagues and teams look at audience development and fan valuation. This is particularly critical for start-up and emerging leagues.
The going in premise … The business model for just about every new sports league begins with a game/event/activity and the belief that with the proper marketing and business acumen, the stands will be filled with newly-minted fans, drawn by the novelty of the game and clamoring for opportunities to watch even more games. Once enough of these fans have been identified and cultivated, there will be sponsors looking to gain access to them and a media distribution deal with one of the big networks is right around the corner.
Here’s the catch... Filling the stands with fans for a new sport is time consuming, arduous and expensive. I know how hard we worked at the Arena Football League ; It was hand-to-hand combat getting Cub Scout Packs, school groups and cheerleading squads to buy group tickets for our games. To make things more challenging, sporting events don’t just compete with other sporting events for the attention and dollars of fans, they compete with the smartphone that is within the grasp of nearly every person at nearly all times.
Who are the most valuable fans? There is an assumption that the ideal sports fan is someone who attends several games a year, consumes several venue hot dogs and beverages and maybe even takes home some merchandise. In that view, social media is a marketing tool, and success is measured by getting this fan into a seat. This fan, whose hallmark is game-watching and game-attending, costs a lot to produce and the revenue they generate doesn’t have very high margins—especially when you add up all of the expenses associated with putting on those games. In addition, the data shows that game-watching is declining in popularity and fast becoming the province of older, male fans.
There is a new breed of fan... These new fans avidly consume 360 degrees of content about the sport and the players. They engage online, and not just with the players and the teams, but with the connected brands as well. These fans do not want their engagement limited to a slate of games being broadcast on television; they want the chance to follow stars outside of the games. These fans have very different views about how and where they consume their sports content. Nearly 47% of Generation Z has never been to a live professional sporting event.
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Formula One has been very successful at adding these new fans. More than 71 million people now describe themselves as F1 fans, largely because of the enormous popularity of the docuseries, “Drive to Survive.” The effect has been dramatic. While F1 races on ESPN averaged only 1.1 million viewers in 2023; the recent Miami Grand Prix had more than 3 million viewers!
These new fans were drawn in by the docuseries, and they now consume lots of social media and digital content about F1, but the vast majority of them still haven’t been to a race, or even watched one on TV. The paradox is that these new fans may present a more appealing profile for advertisers and sponsors and may be more prone to deeper and more valuable brand engagements. Their social media profiles and engagements may generate more value for the team/league than if they attended games or watched the broadcasts on television. These fans need to be met and monetized where they live and consume content. That may not be at the racetrack.
I’m not suggesting that games or sporting events aren't valuable or entertaining. There is no amount of slick social media content that can match the excitement and drama of a Game 7. What I am suggesting is that leagues and teams, particularly start-up and emerging leagues, should focus on developing the most valuable audience and fans they can—and those new potential, and very valuable fans are probably more likely found on social media or watching docuseries, as opposed to watching games on sports networks.
Let’s get back to Taylor. Her presence at games was super valuable for the Chiefs and the league last season, but it was her ability to drive traffic across both social media and smartphones that developed countless new football fans. Reaching these new and valuable fans won't happen through new season ticket campaigns; it will require delivering games and content to where these potential fans spend their time and money: Social media platforms. Games aren’t the only way to monetize sports fans and developing new fans will require changes in content development strategies. Teams and leagues will need to find better and more innovative ways to deliver games and connected content to attract and develop these fans. This begins with determining who are actually the most valuable fans in sports and delivering content to them in ways that match their media consumption habits.
Experienced Sports Technology & Consumer Products leader | Founder & CEO, Field Vision Sports | Former NFL Agent | Former VP, Nike | Podcaster
7moGreat read, Randall. What took place this past season with the “Swiftmania” in the NFL was eye-opening to leagues. Even with the negative publicity, the value of the fans she brought was undeniable. I’m sure the Chiefs will be leaning into it all season for the exact reasons you laid out.
Managing Partner at Vos-IP, LLC; Founder and Partner at Delta Venture Partners, lecturer at University of Pennsylvania law school
7moGreat thoughts! Looking forward to imagining how to identify and monetize these fans!
So do the upstart leagues need to become more like social media platforms and provide the platform for the talent to come together to play, develop their brands and reach the fans globally, and then monetize for themselves, and/or collectively?
Experienced Digital Transactional Lawyer ♦ Technology, Commerce, Content & Advertising ♦ Valued Business Thought Partner)
7moAmazing. Jessica didn't seem to have the same effect when she dated Tony. I guess Taylor has a much stronger brand (my granddaughers are obsessed with her). I didn't know you returned to law firm life. I wonder how that would be after decades in-house. I would guess now with lawyers allowed to work remotely, it's probably a lot different than I remember. Hope you are enjoying it!
Contact Me: Tech Deal Lawyer for SaaS/Cloud & Media/Advertising. | 20+ yrs experience in: Law, BizDev, CorpDev, In-house, BigLaw & PE. | JD/MBA -- JD from Boston U cum laude; MBA from U Michigan
7moLove this! I did not realize you went to Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP recently - I used to work there back in the day. (Of course, I was just the junior coffee boy in training at the time). Tell everyone I said hello!