November Arizona Real Estate Update: A Rare Market Shift in Greater Phoenix

November Arizona Real Estate Update: A Rare Market Shift in Greater Phoenix

The Arizona real estate market this November is anything but ordinary. With active listings surpassing levels not seen in nearly a decade, the Greater Phoenix area is presenting both buyers and sellers with unique opportunities. Whether you're contemplating a move or staying put, here's what you need to know about these surprising market conditions and how to position yourself for success. For a more detailed analysis, you can read the full blog on my website.


Unprecedented Active Listings: A Decade-High Surge

Active listings in Greater Phoenix have reached levels reminiscent of 2014, making this November stand out in a year full of surprises. Typically, the market experiences a seasonal dip in inventory during the spring and a steady decline heading into the holidays. Not so in 2024.

  • January 2024: Fewer active listings than January 2023.
  • Spring 2024: The usual inventory decline didn’t materialize.
  • November 2024: An unexpected inventory spike.

The reasons for this surge are speculative but compelling. Sellers could be trying to list before spring competition heats up, or new construction incentives may be enticing homeowners to move sooner.

For a deep dive into the factors driving this surge, visit the original blog post on my website.


New Construction Takes the Lead

Builders are driving the market, accounting for over 30% of home sales this year. Their strategies are highly attractive to buyers, featuring benefits like:

  • Interest Rate Buydowns: Rates as low as 2.5%.
  • All Closing Costs Covered: Saving buyers thousands upfront.
  • Move-In Ready Perks: Including appliances and other upgrades.

These offers create stiff competition for resale properties, where sellers must get creative to attract buyers.


Buyers Take the Upper Hand

For the first time since 2010, Greater Phoenix is seeing a strong buyer's market. The market index has dropped to 86—a clear indicator of buyer leverage. Here’s what it means:

  • Under 90: A buyer’s market.
  • 86: The most favorable conditions for buyers in 14 years.

This shift isn’t evenly distributed, with city-specific trends painting a dynamic picture:

  • Top Performers: Chandler and Cave Creek are holding strong.
  • Declining Markets: Fountain Hills saw the steepest drop in market index, with Scottsdale, Buckeye, Surprise, Maricopa, and Mesa also experiencing notable declines.

The blog offers additional city-specific insights to help you understand how these changes impact your neighborhood or target market.


Opportunities for Buyers: Why Act Now?

Buyers have a rare window of opportunity to secure better prices and favorable terms. Motivated sellers and less competition make this an ideal time, especially for first-time buyers. Programs available through HUD may provide additional perks, such as:

  • Down payment assistance.
  • Closing cost grants.
  • Reduced interest rates.

However, buyer’s markets in Phoenix tend to be short-lived. With mortgage rates potentially dropping below 6.5%, the pendulum could swing back toward sellers in the blink of an eye. To learn more about these fleeting buyer’s markets and their impact, explore the full article on my site.


Sellers: The Challenge of Standing Out

In contrast, sellers face a more challenging landscape. Mortgage rates in the high 6% range and a seasonal slowdown have shifted the dynamic. Success in this market requires strategic planning:

  • Price Smartly: Competitive pricing is essential.
  • Enhance Appeal: Clean, stage, and improve the condition of your property.
  • Offer Incentives: Closing cost coverage or rate buydowns can make a big difference.
  • Be Patient: Marketing times are extending, especially during the holiday season.

The blog provides additional strategies for sellers to navigate these challenging conditions effectively.


Planning for 2025: A Time to Strategize

With market conditions in flux, now is the perfect time to evaluate your options for 2025. For those considering relocating to Arizona, the financial benefits can be substantial. For example, a recent client moving from California to Phoenix uncovered a 23% lower cost of living, translating to significant annual savings.

I offer personalized cost comparison analyses to help clients make informed decisions, whether they’re buying, selling, or exploring new markets. Learn more about these insights in the original article linked below.


Take Action Before the Window Closes

The November market offers unique opportunities for both buyers and sellers:

  • For Buyers: Use your leverage now before conditions tighten in spring.
  • For Sellers: Focus on strategic pricing and added incentives to attract offers.
  • For Everyone: Consider how new construction and market trends impact your real estate decisions.

For the full breakdown of November’s market trends and actionable strategies, visit the blog on my website here. Let’s turn today’s market dynamics into your advantage. Reach out today to discuss your next steps!

Daniel Williams

Dan Williams - Licensed in CO, AZ, TX, FL, CA, TN, NV, MI, plus 6 other states! Certified Liability Advisor, Certified Reverse Mortgage Professional C2 Financial NMLS#282193 BRE#01727411

2w

Love your updates Eric. Would you say this change is benefitting all buyers? Investors as well as those buying primary? Curious as to your thoughts.

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