The Presidental Election Cycle

The S&P 500 usually posts its most robust results in the last two years of the four-year cycle, ultimately ending with an average gain of 33.6%.

Each of the previous three four-year cycles has seen the S&P rise by more than 40%.

This chart illustrates the average performance of the S&P 500 during the four-year Presidential Election Cycle for all administrations since FDR's first term.

What is your best guess for S&P 500 returns over the next presidential term?