Skeet Shooting with Prizes
The delivery drone industry should be booming by now. It’s 2024, and we’re still stuck in pilot projects and empty promises. The technology is there, but leadership isn’t. The failure of this industry to take off is a direct result of timid executives and outdated thinking. Let’s break down why we’re at a standstill and what it will take to change this.
Stuck in Neutral
For nearly a decade, big players like Amazon and Google Wing have shown flashy demos of drones dropping off packages. Yet, there’s no nationwide rollout—just small-scale tests that go nowhere. The common excuse is regulatory hurdles, but that’s a cop-out. The problem isn’t the regulations; it’s the leadership. The people in charge are stuck in old logistics models, lacking the vision and guts to build the infrastructure this industry needs.
Instead of rethinking delivery from the ground up, they’re trying to fit drones into the same tired logistics systems. This is like using a Ferrari to plow a field and missing the point entirely. We need leaders who can see beyond quarterly reports and reimagine logistics with drones as a decentralized, dynamic network.
The Problem: Lack of Hardware Innovation
The biggest issue isn’t software or regulation; it’s hardware, and it’s all made overseas. America used to lead in hardware innovation. Now we depend fully on foreign suppliers for drone components, leaving us vulnerable and unable to scale. The industry’s obsession with cutting costs has gutted domestic manufacturing, and it’s time to reverse that trend.
The fix is to reward companies to bring hardware development back to the U.S. Give tax breaks, funding, and streamlined pathways for those willing to build here. This isn’t just about creating jobs; it’s about securing our future and regaining control of a strategic industry.
The Public Perception: Drones Are a Threat
There’s a deeper issue beyond hardware and leadership, and thats fear. The public doesn’t trust drones. As someone who’s flown these systems in real-world scenarios, I’ve had drones shot at and faced threats from people who see them as a surveillance tool or invasion of privacy. This fear isn’t irrational, as the spying on citizens by American Police during COVID has demonstrated. It’s a direct result of the industry’s failure to engage with and educate the population about the benefits of drones, with a solid pathway towards a safe and secure system.
Instead of working with communities, the industry has taken a top-down approach, dropping drones into neighborhoods without any dialogue. The solution is to decentralize the logistics model. Let communities own and operate their own parts of the network. Involve people early and make them stakeholders. When communities have a vested interest, drones stop being scary and start becoming valuable.
The Fix
The industry’s current approach isn’t working. Here’s how we fix it:
The Bottom Line
The delivery drone industry is at a tipping point. It can either keep stumbling along, limited by weak leadership and outdated thinking, or it can pivot and reshape logistics for the 21st century. The technology is there, but the will to make it happen isn’t. It’s time to bring the infrastructure back home, decentralize the model, and take real action.
We have a choice: continue the status quo or build the future we’ve been promised. It’s up to us to make that call and get to work.
Range Manager at Pendleton UAS Range, Pendleton, OR; CEO of NEXGEN UAS Range Management, LLC
5dA fasttrack to federal prison
Drones/new tech – public speaker & trainer *Practical reality & myth-slaying *Big picture, long-term *Connecting dots & feisty individuals, globally *4 decades preparation for a job I didn’t know would exist.
1wThere is only one bottomline; and that is financial. Does it make a NET profit? Nope. Never put anything in the air that can be done on the ground more safely, efficiently, quickly (no admin/fancy planning or permission), easily, cheaply - etc. Delivery of urgent medical supplies across intractable terrain, during vicious weather, over war zones? A no brainer. Otherwise? Nope. Traditional means such as ground transport or crewed aviation still whips it in, and will for the foreseeable future.
LePoissonPilote
1wFind novel noiseless propeller like studied by the MIT
I received an FAA BVLOS waiver allowing remote operation from anywhere in the USA. It took me 6 months to get that, and I had to designate ONE single location, not a city, a single warehouse. I know that is has gotten a little better, but not much, and such autonomous remotely managed flights are still pretty rare. Having said that, the danger of a quadcopter falling out of the sky and hurting someone is real, as is shown by the recent drone show in Orlando. Imagine thousands of drones flying packages daily. It's a recipe for disaster for the following reasons: 1. Drone C2 is too easy to jam and block 2. Quads are not redundant if a motor or ESC fails 3. Very limited range and flight time I am a BIG proponent of drones for all sorts of use cases including delivery, but I also don't want to hear the sound of props all day long buzzing my neighborhood. There are solutions, which reduce costs for the Last Mile delivery of products, but they require significant investment from Industry, companies like Amazon, Fedex, UPS etc... I pitched a unified architecture that could realistically achieve FAA certification AND addressed the above issues to Fedex.... It went nowhere.