Week of July 15, 2024 Newsletter
📌Dr. John Pournoor
LinkedIn Top Public Affairs Voice | CEO | Humphrey Policy Fellow | In Pursuit of Public Value
🆕THIS WEEK: Workforce, Healthcare, Climate Action, Supply Chains, Artificial Intelligence, Sustainability, Trade
Get the inside scoop on what is going to happen this week in Minnesota, U.S. and international stage.
This week’s FREE EXECUTIVE BRIEF on:
New U.S. Federal and Minnesota Non-Compete Rules
The recent changes in non-compete regulations at both federal and state levels signify a major shift in the employment landscape. To remain competitive and legally compliant, businesses must adapt by enhancing employee retention, safeguarding proprietary information, and aligning their business models with the new legal requirements. These changes impact workforce mobility across all markets covered by Government Analytica.
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#Climate #SupplyChain #ArtificialIntelligence #Healthcare #Sustainability #Trade #Economics #Regulation #Infrastructure #Transportation #GovernmentRelations #PublicPolicy #PublicAffairs #GovernmentAffairs #GovernmentMarkets #Legislation #MNDEED #MNDOT #MNDHS #MNDOH #Minnesota
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Infographic of The Week
HAPPENING THIS WEEK
Monday, 15 July
USA: Republican National Convention commences.
China: China’s Central Committee members will gather for a closely watched meeting known as the third plenum. The four-day event will offer updates on national policies and historically has been the venue to announce major economic initiatives
UN: High-level Political Forum on Sustainable Development (HLPF) continues, including the three-day ministerial segment of the forum as part of the High-level Segment of ECOSOC (UN Headquarters, New York).
UN: Ministerial-level Africa Day at the High-level Political Forum on Sustainable Development discussed by Under-Secretary-General Special Adviser on Africa, Cristina Duarte, Claver Gatete, Executive Secretary of the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (ECA), and the Permanent Observer of the African Union, Ambassador Fatima Kyari Mohammed (UN Headquarters, New York).
UN: United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) launches its first-ever Global Foresight Report produced with the International Science Council (Conference Room 11, UN Headquarters, New York).
UN: UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF) and the World Health Organization (WHO) expected to release their latest Estimates on National Child Immunization Coverage.
EU: Agriculture and Fisheries Council, where the Hungarian presidency presents its work program for the semester and discusses trade-related agricultural issues and the viability of rural areas (Brussels).
Jamaica: 29th Session of the International Seabed Authority Assembly and Council (Part II) begins and continues until 2 August (Kingston).
Tuesday, 16 July
Japan: Leaders gather in Japan's capital for the 10th Pacific Islands Leaders Meeting
Italy: The Group of Seven countries will hold the Trade Ministers' Meeting in Italy on Tuesday and Wednesday. The main themes will be responding to the tensions and frictions which interfere with global trade and potential economic growth, and to streamline international trade through reform of the World Trade Organization. The session with non-member countries and business leaders will also be held to pay attention to the crisis in the Red Sea, which affects international trading routes and supply chains around the world including the Indo-Pacific region.
UN: 2024 SDG Global Business Forum co-convened by United Nations Global Compact (UNGC), United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), International Organization of Employers (IOE), and World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) (Virtual).
UN: General Assembly holds its 100th plenary meeting (UN Headquarters, New York).
UN: Event entitled "Bridging the Ambition Gap for the Future We Want Through Climate and SDGs Synergy" launches the 2024 Global Report on Climate and SDG Synergy (Conference Room 5, UN Headquarters, New York).
UN: Guests at the noon briefing include Alvaro Lario, President of the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), and Federico Properzi, Chief and Technical Lead, UN Water, launching the first-ever United Nations system-wide Strategy for Water and Sanitation and unveiling the latest figures from the upcoming State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2024 report (UN Headquarters, New York).
UN: General Assembly holds its 101st Plenary meeting (UN Headquarters, New York).
EU: Plenary Session of the European Parliament, where the new Parliament is constituted, and elections for the President, Vice-Presidents, and Quaestors are held (Strasbourg).
EU: Economic and Financial Affairs Council discusses the implementation of the Recovery and Resilience Facility, economic impact of Russia's aggression against Ukraine, and other financial matters (Brussels).
EU: Employment, Social Policy, Health and Consumer Affairs Council discusses labor and skills shortages, social inclusion of persons with disabilities, and other employment issues (Brussels).
Global: European Mobility Week begins, promoting sustainable urban mobility and behavioral change in favor of active mobility, public transport, and other clean transport solutions (Brussels).
Wednesday, 17 July
Philippines: The Asian Development Bank is set to release its latest economic assessment as economic headwinds high interest rates buffet regional economies.
EU: Plenary Session of the European Parliament forms Parliament's committees and delegations (Strasbourg).
Thursday, 18 July
Indonesia: More than 30 carmakers will take part in the GAIKINDO Indonesia International Auto Show in Jakarta hosted by The Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries.
Global: World Health Organization (WHO) expected to publish its Tobacco and Asthma Knowledge Summary.
EU: Plenary Session of the European Parliament votes on endorsing Ursula von der Leyen for the Presidency of the European Commission, with her address and debate with MEPs (Strasbourg).
Friday, 19 July
USA: General Assembly holds informal consultations on the Declaration on Future Generations (UN Headquarters, New York).
Saturday July 13 and Sunday July 14
Quiet weekend in politics.
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PULSE (and Weekly Trade Update + Biweekly China Spotlight)
USA
Key activity indicators for the United States, including retail sales and industrial production, will be released. S&P Global PMI survey data indicates that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to rise by a robust 2.0%. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has reduced its signaling to just one rate cut in 2024, and the strength of demand in the economy will guide policy.
Europe
The European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates by 25 basis points in June and is unlikely to cut rates again in July due to persistent inflation in the service sector, largely linked to elevated pay growth. Final data is expected to confirm that inflation has fallen to 2.5%, but services inflation remains at 4.1%. The Bank of England is also on hold despite better headline inflation figures, with the headline inflation meeting the target at 2.0% in June. However, annual growth in employees' core earnings is still running at 6.0%. The British King's legislative program under the new Labour Government will be under focus as second quarter corporate earnings commence.
Asia
The Third Plenum of the 20th National Congress will set the long-term economic and reform agenda. China will release major economic data, including second quarter GDP, industrial production, retail sales, and fixed asset investment, which are expected to have moderated slightly in June. The People's Bank of China is expected to keep the 1-year Medium-Term Lending Facility (MLF) rate at 2.5%. Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) is likely to edge up to 2.9% year-on-year in June. The government plans to offer an energy subsidy program from August to October, which will temporarily weigh on headline inflation. Japan's exports are expected to rise by 7.5% year-on-year in June. Bank Indonesia is unlikely to change rates, but there may be room for a rate cut in the fourth quarter. Indonesia's exports and imports are expected to dip in May, with the trade surplus rising slightly. India's trade deficit is expected to narrow marginally, and remittances from Filipino overseas workers are projected to rise.
Latin America
Uruguay's interest rate remains at 8.5%.
Africa
The Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) sector in Africa, currently employing 1.2 million full-time equivalents, is projected to more than double by 2030. The continent's BPO workforce is expected to create 1.5 million new jobs over the next six years, driven by growing global demand for outsourced customer service. South Africa, Kenya, and Egypt are poised for significant benefits, with emerging hubs like Ghana, Ethiopia, and Rwanda also positioned for substantial growth.
Weekly Trade Update
In June 2024, Brazil increased import duties on several capital goods and IT and telecommunications products by removing them from the Ex-Tarifário lists. Indonesia liberalized its labor market for foreign-qualified doctors in August 2023, removing the competency assessment and language requirements to boost its national health industry. United States of America announced significant funding for domestic manufacturers like Fiat Chrysler, General Motors, and Harley Davidson under the Domestic Manufacturing Conversion Grant Program:
In Argentina, Law 27.742 established the Incentive Regime for Large Investments (RIGI) in June 2024. Australia made customs tariff amendments and provided a substantial export finance guarantee to Fulton Market Group Australia Pty Ltd. Brazil also launched a project call for innovation in agricultural machinery and reduced minimum purchasing prices for wheat for the 2024/2025 season. Ireland added a REPowerEU chapter to its national recovery plan, focusing on energy and decarbonization. Italy's Eximbank SACE supported Pastificio Liguori with a EUR 10 million guarantee, while Japan's JBIC signed a JPY 57 billion loan agreement with Ajinomoto Co Inc. Mexico adjusted tax credits under its fuel subsidy scheme for July 2024.
WEEKLY EXECUTIVE BRIEF
New U.S. Federal and Minnesota Non-Compete Rules
The recent changes in non-compete regulations at both federal and state levels represent a significant shift in the employment landscape. Businesses must adapt to these changes by enhancing employee retention, protecting proprietary information, and aligning business models with the new legal requirements to remain competitive and legally compliant. This applies to all key growth drivers in markets we cover.
Federal Regulation Recommendations
· Monitor ongoing legal challenges and court rulings.
· Stay updated on state-level responses and ensure compliance with both federal and state laws.
· Enhance trade secret protections and revise recruitment and retention strategies.
Minnesota Regulation Recommendations
· Develop new employee retention strategies and strengthen non-disclosure agreements.
· Adapt business models and monitor legislative developments.
· Focus on competitive compensation, benefits packages, and robust confidentiality measures.
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