WHAT's  HAPPENING?- why the polls were wrong and the bookies got it RIGHT FOR TRUMP.

WHAT's HAPPENING?- why the polls were wrong and the bookies got it RIGHT FOR TRUMP.

Trump won the majority as well as the vote in a majority of states. Two thirds of the nation is still ANGRY and wants CHANGE and feel left behind and left out , after being referred to as "deplorables," by Clinton and "garbage" by Biden.

Low self-esteem is seen to create a greater conflict between societal expectations for assertiveness and the individual’s internal struggle, impacting anger expression.

Changing cultures between generations, genders and immigrants in anger expression and emotional suppression highlight that while there are some universal psychological tendencies, cultural and social factors played a critical role in votes for the blokes. Trump highlighted the division between feelings of joy and despair.

The swing occurred in both rural and urban communities, and less people turned up for a black woman (Harris) than either a black (Obama)or white man (Biden and Trump) and less women voted for Harris than either Biden or Trump.

The result was never going to be close . There is every reason to believe that Trump will (AGAIN) pivot toward the position of his legacy, to back VP Vance (who was the first to record the nation wide focus on family feelings , with a flair for anti-single , educated women mysogeny).

SO WHAT' S HAPPENING IN AMERICA?

The expression of anger is shaped by a complex interplay of individual psychological factors, cultural dimensions, and social constructs. Anger expression varies greatly based on the interaction between internal psychological factors (like locus of control and self-esteem), cultural dimensions, and social norms related to class and gender.

These norms vary by culture; for example, American and Australian norms may support more open anger expression in men, whereas Japanese norms may discourage both men and women from open displays of anger.

Internal vs. External Locus of Control : In individualistic cultures like the United States and Australia, there is often a higher prevalence of an internal locus of control, aligning with values of autonomy and self-expression. This can encourage more direct anger expression. In contrast, Japan’s collectivist culture, which emphasizes harmony and interdependence, aligns more with an external locus and may discourage overt anger expression, favoring indirect or internalized anger.

Self-Esteem and Anger Expression• People with low self-esteem may experience anger but often lack confidence in expressing it assertively. This can result in passive-aggressive behaviors or self-directed anger. Low self-esteem can also exacerbate feelings of frustration or helplessness, leading to more frequent but less productive expressions of anger.•

Social Class and Gender Considerations• Class can influence access to resources, control, and stress, all of which affect anger expression. Higher social class ( Clinton and Harris)may be associated with greater feelings of control and, thus, more assertive anger expression.(Biden and Trump). People facing more socioeconomic stress and possibly lower perceived control, may exhibit either suppressed anger or aggressive outbursts as coping mechanisms.•

Gender Differences: In many cultures, men are socialised to express anger more overtly, while women are often discouraged from direct anger expression and may turn to passive-aggressive or indirect expressions. These norms vary by culture; for example, American and Australian norms may support more open anger expression in men, whereas Japanese norms may discourage both men and women from open displays of anger..

Cross-Cultural Comparison: • United States and Australia: Both are individualistic and promote values that support internal locus of control, higher self-esteem, and more extraverted behavior. This context encourages open expression of emotions, including anger, as part of assertiveness and self-advocacy.•

So , a me-a culpa! Let me be the first to admit I got it all wrong in earlier columns. and accept that the polls accurately reflected the anger of the nation, if not the delicate balance of the winners and losers in the three Houses.

FOR THOSE FEELING ANGER AT THE RESULT:

Anger expression varies greatly based on the interaction between internal psychological factors (like locus of control and self-esteem), cultural dimensions, , and social norms related to class and gender. These variations highlight that while there are some universal psychological tendencies, cultural and social factors play a significant role in shaping how individuals experience and express anger across different societies.

1. Internal vs. External Locus of Control: Individuals with an internal locus of control (belief in personal agency over events) are often more likely to feel empowered to express anger directly, as they feel responsible for influencing their environment. In contrast, those with an external locus (belief that outside forces control events) may feel less agency, potentially leading to more passive or suppressed expressions of anger.• Cultural Differences: In individualistic cultures like the United States and Australia, there is often a higher prevalence of an internal locus of control, aligning with values of autonomy and self-expression. This can encourage more direct anger expression. In contrast, Japan’s collectivist culture, which emphasizes harmony and interdependence, aligns more with an external locus and may discourage overt anger expression, favoring indirect or internalized anger

2. Low Self-Esteem: People with low self-esteem may experience anger but often lack confidence in expressing it assertively. This can result in passive-aggressive behaviors or self-directed anger. Low self-esteem can also exacerbate feelings of frustration or helplessness, leading to more frequent but less productive expressions of anger.• Cultural Differences: In cultures where social cohesion and humility are valued (e.g., Japan), low self-esteem might align with societal expectations for modesty, reinforcing indirect anger expressions. In cultures that emphasize individual achievement (e.g., the U.S.), low self-esteem might create a greater conflict between societal expectations for assertiveness and the individual’s internal struggle, impacting anger expression.

3. Social Class and Gender Considerations can influence access to resources, control, and stress, all of which affect anger expression. Higher social class may be associated with greater feelings of control and, thus, more assertive anger expression. Lower social classes, facing more socioeconomic stress and possibly lower perceived control, may exhibit either suppressed anger or aggressive outbursts as coping mechanisms.• Gender Differences: Gender norms across cultures shape how anger is expressed. In many cultures, men are socialized to express anger more overtly, while women are often discouraged from direct anger expression and may turn to passive-aggressive or indirect expressions.

Jakob Neeland

Sales & Marketing Ambassador at CarePage Business

2w

Very informative, Benji. Although, I think there are a few much more simple factors at play here. Progressive rhetoric continually demonises men and whiteness. Not a great strategy for appealing to white men. Democrats also place group-identity over individualism and a lot of people (including former lefties) are sick of the division of race (why The Voice didn’t work in Australia) gender and sexuality. Lastly, people simply hate the establishment. A growing number of people are realising that government places the wants of donors over the needs of their own people. Trump’s anti-establishment messaging and mocking of the most extreme progressive ideas was pivotal in winning over voters. Despite this though, you can guarantee that the Democratic Party and its media mouthpieces will just chalk this loss up to misogyny and racism, and continue distancing themselves from the average citizen.

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Barry Anderson

Strategist - Board Advisor - Start-up/ Innovation, Transformation

2w

Living proof of the value of Maslow's Hierarchy - base level need for safety and security will overrule all else. Once the CEO's of US corporates exported the labour component from the manufacturing heartland of USA to China and retained the benefits of this exporting as profits and bonuses with no regard to the regions (rust belts) they had deserted the die was cast for a Trump event. No matter the economic data - what those people perceive is their reality. Australians are having the same debate about their cost of living scenarios and whether the RBA and economic commentariat are in touch with reality

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John Thexton

Investigator, Masters Degree Leadership and Mngt (Policing), Dip. Alc & Oth Drugs, Cert IV Train & Assess & Youth Work

2w

Trump the disruptor. America descended into divisive tribes pitted against each other dressed up as being progressive. America showed it is not going to take it anymore & rejected being governed by minorities with the loudest voice & deepest pockets & embraced governing for all. Similarly in Australia the Voice was rejected as it was seen to be divisive. If Labor wishes to retain power it needs to rethink its approach to social matters e.g. family violence slogans no to violence against women and children, should be no to violence. If the aim is to actually reduce violence against women and children rather than being seen as virtue signalling it will not be achieved by implication demonising all men. Similarly calls to respect women should be simply respect for all.

Bijan Asgari

Family Violence Specialist I Cultural Responsive Social Worker (AASW) | Reflective Practitioner

2w

Very profound and analytical. Thank you 🙏

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