Peter Cotton

Helping to build a decentralized prediction network

View articles by Peter Cotton

Shutting Down California — The Billion Dollar Prediction Problem

Shutting Down California — The Billion…

May 1, 2023

29 likes13 comments

Nine Yards is Enough - Why NFL Receivers and Running Backs Should Stop Shy of the First Down

Nine Yards is Enough - Why NFL Receivers and…

October 26, 2020

18 likes4 comments

Comparing Python Global Optimization Packages

Comparing Python Global Optimization Packages

October 19, 2020

39 likes1 comment

The Instant, Morbid Reaction to the "Worst Debate in History"

The Instant, Morbid Reaction to the "Worst…

October 1, 2020

20 likes2 comments

Be the World's Most Asymptotically Productive Data Scientist (Deploying Models Edition)

Be the World's Most Asymptotically…

August 10, 2020

56 likes13 comments

Live, Online Distribution Estimation Using t-Digests

Live, Online Distribution Estimation Using…

July 29, 2020

36 likes6 comments

Benchmarking AutoML Vendors and Open Source Time Series Packages

Benchmarking AutoML Vendors and Open Source…

July 22, 2020

40 likes4 comments

On Masks and Seat Belts. COVID Cases Mount Higher where Ralph Nader was Unpopular, and Conversely.

On Masks and Seat Belts. COVID Cases Mount…

July 16, 2020

15 likes12 comments

Ever Lost an Algorithm? A Suggestion for Addressing the Reusability Crisis

Ever Lost an Algorithm? A Suggestion for…

July 14, 2020

5 likes

Where will a Badminton Player Move to Next, and How Should we Adjudicate Predictions of the Same?

Where will a Badminton Player Move to Next…

July 13, 2020

14 likes3 comments

A Call for Contributions to a Copula Contest (where Carefully Calibrated Contributions can Collectively Capture Comovements of Cyptocurrencies)

A Call for Contributions to a Copula…

July 11, 2020

46 likes6 comments

Helicopulas

Helicopulas

July 8, 2020

16 likes

Economical Statistics: How to Modify a Prediction Crawler's Navigation

Economical Statistics: How to Modify a…

July 6, 2020

14 likes1 comment

If You Love Your Algorithm, Set it Free

If You Love Your Algorithm, Set it Free

July 6, 2020

23 likes7 comments

Dorothy, You're Not in Kaggle Anymore

Dorothy, You're Not in Kaggle Anymore

July 5, 2020

65 likes6 comments

Can one Line of Python Win a Contest at Microprediction.Org?

Can one Line of Python Win a Contest at…

July 3, 2020

13 likes1 comment

An Introduction to Z-Streams (and Collective Microprediction)

An Introduction to Z-Streams (and Collective…

July 2, 2020

31 likes3 comments

A Fundamental Theorem for Epidemiology

A Fundamental Theorem for Epidemiology

May 27, 2020

43 likes5 comments

Modeling the Term Structure of a Pandemic with Negative Interest Rates

Modeling the Term Structure of a Pandemic…

May 25, 2020

57 likes7 comments

Herd Immunity is a Mirage. Why You Can't Use 1/R to Predict The Outcome of a Pandemic

Herd Immunity is a Mirage. Why You Can't Use…

May 15, 2020

31 likes3 comments

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