56%

of teams were only looking three to six months ahead on headcount planning.

11%

of teams aren’t looking ahead at all.

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Talent acquisition teams have had a tumultuous time of it over the last few years. 

A volatile economy, continuous layoffs, and job market conditions have created a shaky terrain for hiring. The big quit has become the big stay as employees are choosing job security over plumper salaries. Budgets are down, projecting headcount has become a moving target, and the labor market is at a near-standstill, with fewer roles available than ever

In the face of so much instability, it’s little wonder that talent teams are struggling with how to plan for what’s coming next. But as hiring starts to heat up once more, now’s the time to get your processes and talent strategy in order so that when crunch time comes, you’re ready.

Here’s how to plan your capacity when it’s hard to plan, period.

The current state of talent acquisition

If there’s one word that defines talent teams’ current state of play, it’s reactivity. According to HIGHER’s 2024 State of Talent Acquisition report, 56% of teams were only looking three to six months ahead on headcount planning — and 11% of teams weren’t looking ahead at all.

Fluctuating business conditions have left best-laid headcount and growth plans in the dust. This constant state of flux is forcing talent teams to respond to near-term urgent needs, rather than long-term talent strategy. And when the organization says it’s go time on hiring, it’s up to talent teams to deliver — often last-minute, with limited resources, and under great pressure.

And when we couple this with the fact that 75% of talent teams aren’t planning to hire for internal team members, we start to see a vicious cycle. 

With future headcount still hazy, talent acquisition teams can’t hire the internal headcount that enables them to act quickly when hiring needs skyrocket. But equally, they can’t meet the business demands for hiring without the internal resources.

If talent teams aren’t able to solve this problem, it leads to a number of potential challenges for the business:

Inability to meet hiring demands

Without the ability to forward plan, talent acquisition teams will struggle to nurture candidates and manage pipeline effectively. Time-to-hire and time-to-fill go up — and when a business-critical role pops up that takes a long time to fill, this could impact business growth.

Increased risk of burnout

Talent acquisition teams are used to working under lean conditions — but continuous pressure may lead to burnout over time. This has a knock-on impact on productivity and team outcomes.

Higher recruitment costs

As teams buckle under pressure, they may need to turn to external sources of support to share the load, including recruitment agencies and freelancers, driving hiring costs up.

Limited agility to respond to changing market conditions

If teams spend all of their time looking at what’s directly in front of them, they’re less likely to be able to adjust strategy to respond to shifts in the market.

Proactive strategies for more effective capacity planning

When hiring is a moving target, talent acquisition teams need to focus on what they can plan for, rather than what they can’t. Namely, embedding agility, adaptability, and efficiency into the foundations of your talent processes and strategy.

Call it getting your ducks in a row: You’ll need to analyze your talent acquisition data for trends, identify any process bottlenecks, evaluate internal capacity gaps, and build cross-functional partnerships to streamline processes across the organization.


1. Evaluate talent acquisition data patterns and trends

Talent acquisition teams run on data. But to get a sense of the future, you need to know where you’ve been, and what patterns and trends you can spot that are likely to come back around. 

Drill down into the metrics that are most meaningful for your organization, such as:

  • Time-to-hire
  • Time-to-fill
  • Cost-per-hire
  • Quality of hire
  • Candidate experience
  • Candidate diversity
  • Hiring phase segmentation

Where possible, integrate these with other metrics across the broader business, such as employee engagement, time-to-ramp, attrition and retention, and performance. Then, identify your successes and pain points that paint you a picture on talent acquisition’s state of play. For example, has cost-per-hire shot up in one of your markets? Is time-to-hire dragging for engineers? Is attrition starting to rise due to stagnant salaries? How long does it take us to hire a VP?

All of this gives you critical data that will help you set realistic expectations on hiring needs for the rest of the business and plan capacity more effectively from within.


2. Start building out succession plans

People always come and go — but the great resignation blindsided even the most well-prepared of talent acquisition teams. And as the labor market starts to warm up, it’s likely to bring a fresh wave of quits as employees look for bigger paychecks elsewhere. 

When things feel hazy, planning for these realistic (and some worst-case) scenarios will mean you’re better able to adapt for whatever’s coming your way.

First, map out your mission-critical roles across the organization. These roles are the ones that keep the lights on — they might build your product, drive revenue, or run core operations. Then, identify other key roles that may have longer timelines for recruitment, such as department or senior leaders.

Using your talent acquisition data, consider which segments of your employee population might decide they want out first. How will you account for the attrition? Will you work to backfill roles or not — and if so, which roles are a priority? How long will it take to hire an employee for the role?


3. Identify talent acquisition team capacity gaps

Time to turn your gaze inwards at your processes and efficiency. At a broader level, you need to identify what kind of talent acquisition function does the business need in this moment. 

Understand your team structure, and who does what, and where team members’ strengths lie. Map tasks and resource allocation to the end-to-end talent acquisition process. If you’re using external contractors or agencies, map these too, and identify how these fit within your day-to-day operations. 

Use data from your hiring process to identify key pain points and bottlenecks that are impacting hiring or other business outcomes. Consider what goals and priorities are coming up for the broader organization, and tie these into talent acquisition priorities. For example, if applications to recent roles have been down, allocate resources to building your employer value proposition and candidate attraction strategy. 

Consider what you’ll need to plug any gaps in your team: Is it more talent team headcount? Budget? Training or upskilling to increase overall team agility? Knowing your key challenges and risk factors will mean you know where you need to allocate more resources — and what to ask for.


4. Build cross-functional partnerships to keep an ear on the ground

You can’t plan for the unknown alone. Efficient talent acquisition takes the input of the whole organization, and building cross-functional partnerships with key departments will help establish talent needs, streamline processes, and build a more effective long-term strategy.

From an operations side, increasing alignment with aligned departments including HR, L&D, and DEIB specialists will help identify mutual priorities and goals that pertain to people processes. For example, working with your DEIB team may highlight that workforce representation in a particular segment is low — and this is likely to have an impact on revenue as you prepare to enter a new market. Or maybe partnering with HR identifies significant delays in time-to-ramp, hampering employees’ ability to deliver value sooner.

Beyond aligned functions, work with department leaders across the organization to identify their key talent needs and pain points in talent attraction or retention. How can talent acquisition support on these challenges — whether it’s building better talent pooling or creating targeted candidate attraction strategies?

Consider the organization’s broader strategy and priorities:

  • How is your product or service developing in the next few years? 
  • Is your organization looking to expand into new markets, or go for an IPO?
  • What are your organization’s key strategic objectives and mission?
  • Are there any potential unaddressed skills gaps that could hinder competitive advantage?

All of these could drive talent strategy in a number of different directions, helping you build a plan that feels more responsive — and adaptable — to your organization’s specific outlook.


5. Quantify your capacity for senior leaders

Senior leaders like hard numbers. They want to know how many employees you can hire, by when, and what it’ll cost. But with a lack of forward sight on what’s coming, it can make this calculation a little more challenging.

Bringing in data on talent acquisition’s business impact is critical here, as it sells the story of why something is or isn’t within your reach. Instead of saying 300 hires in a month is unrealistic, present data that compares your team size, budget, and candidate attraction rates with your current time-to-hire.

Break this down into data that tells the story of why, such as candidate scarcity, the complexity of the role, and the competitive landscape. Framing your story within the data shifts the narrative from uncertainty to objective, measurable outcomes, making for clearer decision-making and prioritization.


Flexible, risk-free talent acquisition with Talentful

Matching talent acquisition team size to hiring output is a moving target right now. But putting proactive strategies and leading with data will help teams mitigate this uncertainty and keep their heads above water. At a fundamental level, this hinges on a clear understanding of current business priorities and team bottlenecks. Forging cross-functional partnerships across the organization is also key so that talent teams have forward sight into workforce management patterns and trends, and understand where skills or talents gaps may be lurking.

But if the going’s still tough, scaling capacity with external providers can help teams better balance resources and hiring needs without the extra internal headcount. Talentful is an embedded, flexible RPO model that helps talent teams scale their capacity up or down with a transparent monthly subscription model. No hidden fees — just our expert team embedded into your team to lend their support when you need it most.


Talentful is an embedded RPO that offers organizations a flexible, tailored, and risk-free approach to their talent acquisition process. Our team of fully trained experienced talent acquisition experts work closely with your organization to understand your culture, mission, and hiring needs to source and hire better quality talent more quickly and efficiently. And because our team is directly employed by us, there are no legal or tax risks to worry about.

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