Dragonfly (part of FiscalNote)

With further warming, climate change risks will become more complex and so harder to manage. The graphic below illustrates the direct and indirect consequences of climate hazards. It comes from our new interactive data visualisation, ‘Climate Adaptation: A Security Risk?’, which shows how interventions meant to combat climate change or its implications often interact with entrenched political and economic systems, potentially leading to protests or even violent resistance. Get direct access to the data visualisation here: https://lnkd.in/erduq_bS #climatechange #securityintelligence

Ceasefires between Israel and Hamas in Gaza and Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon have halted rocket, missile and drone attacks into Israel in recent weeks. Even in the event they collapse, neither Hamas nor Hezbollah appear able to sustain frequent attacks against Israeli cities as they did at the height of the conflict last year. Our graphic shows our current risk ratings for Israel. It was produced in support of an intelligence report on the impact of the recent ceasefires on security risks in Israel.  To gain access to graphics like this through our SIAS platform, get in touch here:  https://lnkd.in/eT-CAcAJ #Israel #Gaza #Lebanon #Ceasefire #MiddleEast #Security #RiskAssessment 

We’re delighted to welcome Stephanie Ashton Sánchez to Dragonfly as our newest Research Analyst. Originally from Colombia, Stephanie brings a wealth of expertise in international affairs, governance and security. Her career has taken her across Latin America, from working on social health initiatives for an NGO in Rio to the department of National Planning in Colombia’s government. As a Colombian diplomat in Washington, D.C., she led on human rights and security at the Organization of American States. Stephanie holds a PhD from University College London (UCL), where she explored local governance and state-building in Colombia, and has additional degrees from Georgetown’s School of Foreign Service and Columbia University. “I love doing research so I’m excited for that to be my focus going forward, especially in a fast-paced intelligence environment,” she says. “And I’m looking forward to that research leading to tangible results, helping companies make critical decisions to protect their people and assets.” Welcome to the team, Stephanie! We’re looking forward to your insights. #Growingteam #ResearchAnalyst #SecurityIntelligence #LatinAmerica

The number of armed robberies against commercial shipping in Southeast Asia has risen over the past two years. Fifty-two such incidents took place in 2024 alone, according to data by regional monitoring service ReCAAP, with most taking place in the Singapore Strait. Our report identifies the most likely hotspots for seaborne theft in 2025. Read it here:  https://lnkd.in/eXQhu3aE #MaritimeSecurity #ShippingRisks #Piracy #SoutheastAsia #SingaporeStrait

The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas remains extremely fragile. Its first phase is due to expire at the end of February. However, there are strong signs that the two sides will fail to agree on the terms to transition to the second phase of the deal. Our report examines what a collapse of the ceasefire would mean for already-high regional conflict risks. Read it here: https://lnkd.in/ecvXYNkJ #Israel #Hamas #Gazaceasefire

Efforts to address climate change are intensifying. So for security teams, the implications of these mitigation measures are likely to come into focus. For example, corporate land acquisitions for reforestation can undermine local livelihoods without delivering meaningful environmental benefits. Our new interactive data visualisation, Climate Adaptation: A Security Risk? illustrates this with examples in Brazil, Colombia, Papua New Guinea and Sierra Leone. 👇 Grab your copy here: https://lnkd.in/erduq_bS #climatechange #climate #securityintelligence

What is the outlook for protests against the administration in the US over the coming months? Americas analyst Eddie B. shares our assessment 👇 #USA #securityintelligence

The average daily number of cyberattacks against Taiwan doubled in 2024 compared with 2023. It is very plausible that state hackers or cybercriminals would mount cyberattacks to try and disrupt operations at Taiwanese ports in the coming years. Our map identifies the locations of ransomware attacks on ports globally in recent years. It supports our report looking at the outlook for Chinese cyber operations in 2025. To access graphics like this, please contact us today: https://lnkd.in/eT-CAcAJ #CyberSecurity #China #Taiwan #CyberEspionage #Ransomware

A new edition of Dragonfly Dispatch is out! This month, we’re looking at three intelligence products that save analysts time. Read the article below 👇And don’t forget to subscribe to receive the next edition of Dragonfly Dispatch directly in your inbox. #intelligence #securityintelligence

*New webinar* - Join us for a briefing on the geopolitical and security risks likely to shape Asia in 2025. Our specialists will: ➡️Identify the high-impact issues set to shape risks in the region throughout 2025 ➡️Present our latest assessments of how these risks are likely to unfold over the coming year ➡️Highlight key indicators to monitor, signalling whether specific scenarios are becoming more or less likely Find out more and reserve your spot here: https://lnkd.in/e_2Am5ic #Asia #geopolitics #securityintelligence