The Valuation Dilemma: Raised at a high valuation, so now what?
(sharing this from this weeks Last Money In post)
There were so many SaaS, ecomm, fintech and other startups that were able to raise capital quickly, and at high valuations (2x, 5x, 10x, 50x of what they’d be valued in today's market).
I’m not going to pretend our syndicate did not participate in many of these rounds and companies… we did.
We invested alongside all the tier 1 VC’s (and backed great founders) out there during this time while the capital was flowing and we did not see a sharp turn right around the corner.
But now those same companies find themselves in extremely difficult funding environments and situations. These startups that raised at exceptionally high valuations during the bull market are facing many unique challenges today including:
Valuation Mismatch:
Current market conditions often don't support previous valuations, leading to potential down rounds or in many situations small internal rounds or no rounds because founders and existing/new investors cannot agree on terms.
Example: Peloton at one point was valued at around 23x sales; today it's achieving a 0.85x sales multiple or almost 97% multiple compression.
Higher Bars for Growth:
To justify their valuations, these companies need to demonstrate exceptional growth and progress. Most of these companies are trying to figure out how they can get back to their recent valuation in 1-3-5+ years with limited capital needs i.e. do it without heavy dilution.
Burn Rate Pressure:
High valuations often came with high burn rates, which are now unsustainable in the current climate. Most companies flipped the switch and performed massive budget cuts and got rid of many employees, to as quickly as possible, figure out how to get to profitability or extend their runway many years down the road.
Investor Expectations:
Previous investors may be resistant to lower valuations, complicating new funding rounds. Many founders are now upset that they sit in cap table purgatory even when the VC’s agreed to these terms previously. I’d also imagine (and have seen) a bunch of VCs stepping up to lead internal bridge rounds to help extend runway to get to the next milestone, next funding, or profitability.
Full post in comments.
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