A—B’s Post

43 days left in this election cycle and we can’t afford to place our bets on a losing strategy. A—B ‘s latest NewWorld Election Report results explore 3 possible scenarios that could make or break this election.

No Democratic candidate has won the White vote in a presidential election since 1964 (the year of Kamala’s birth). To put it plainly, there’s no President Carter, Clinton, Obama or Biden without Black and Brown voters. This election isn't going to be any different - but Black and Brown voters will make or break the difference. Check out our latest NWER to learn more about what the data is saying in key swing states.

Less than three weeks before Election Day, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by fewer than three points in national polls. Because Republicans have a structural advantage in the Electoral College, this means the Presidential race is a pure tossup. To talk about the election, Isaac Chotiner speaks with Nate Cohn, who oversees the Times’ polling operation, about why Republicans have been making voter-registration gains, what we can learn from the Times’ large new poll of Black and Hispanic voters, and how pollsters are trying to predict what voter turnout will be this year. Read the interview: https://lnkd.in/gUNdrHj3

While betting markets can provide some insight into election trends, they are far from perfect. Factors like emotional betting, reliance on flawed polls, and the influence of wealthy bettors can all skew the odds. In the 2024 presidential election, unique factors like Donald Trump’s presence and polling uncertainties could make betting market predictions even less reliable. Understanding these limitations is key to recognizing why betting odds alone are not a foolproof way to predict election outcomes. https://lnkd.in/gzwjMHdz

📊 Election Polls Heat Up! 📊 A new poll shows Trump with a narrow lead over Harris as the election nears. What does this mean for the race, and how could it impact the final stretch? Get the full breakdown in Laura Ingraham’s latest article! Click the link for the full story and weigh in on the Sided poll: With the poll showing a narrow lead for Trump, how confident are you in the security of the upcoming election? 👉 https://ow.ly/OwPV50TUSqe #Publisher #Sidedpoll #Sided #Trump #Election2024 #KamalaHarris #LauraIngraham #PollResults #USPolitics #VoterConfidence #ElectionNews

What to expect on Election Night 2024? The same process as in 2020. Experts believe that due to the expansion of Early Voting and Vote by Mail, many states will still be in the process of counting ballots well after Election Day. Thus watch parties can be both fun and anxiety provoking as voters watch two separate phenomenons occur: A Red Mirage followed by a Blue Shift. Curious to know what to expect? I suggest watching this great video explanation from my Brother in the Movement - Professor Robert Reich - and ask that you share this video with your networks so they can be prepared. Then sign up for a final get out the vote volunteer shift at www.NewYorkforHarris.com. #ItsUpToUs #VotingMatters #GetOutTheVote #Freedom #ANewWayForward #knowledgeispower

High voter turnout is crucial for a representative democracy, but simply getting people to the polls is not enough. How can candidates ensure that their campaigns address the core issues facing Baltimore residents and not just focus on increasing turnout numbers? #CampaignEffectiveness #CommunityIssues

🚨 Early Voting Trends Raise Concerns for Harris Campaign Former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina sounds the alarm: "Early vote numbers are a little scary," he admits. Key observations: • Republican voters showing higher turnout compared to previous election • Trump supporters demonstrating increased engagement • Democratic strategists acknowledging GOP advantage As the race intensifies, both campaigns face critical questions: 1. How will these early numbers impact overall election strategy? 2. What moves can Democrats make to energize their base? 3. Is this a temporary blip or a sign of a larger shift? One thing's certain: Every vote will count in this high-stakes contest. What's your take on these early voting patterns? Are they predictive of the final outcome? follow me @ jalal sabsabi #Election2024 #VoterTurnout #PoliticalStrategy

🗳️ First-Time Voters: Get Ready for Tuesday! 🎉 Election Day is tomorrow, and if you’re a first-time voter, it’s your time to shine! Here’s how to prepare for heading to the polls: 1) Check Your Registration: Confirm you’re registered to vote on your state’s election website. 2) Know Your Polling Place: Find out where to go and the hours of operation. 3) Bring the Right ID: Some states require identification. Texas requires ID. Check what you need! 4) Review Your Ballot: Familiarize yourself with candidates and issues before you arrive. 5) Go with Friends: Make it a fun outing—encourage your friends to vote with you! 6) Stay Informed: If you have questions on Election Day, poll workers are there to help! Your vote is your voice. Let’s make it count this Tuesday! 🌟 #FirstTimeVoter #ElectionDayReady #YourVoteMatters #CivicEngagement #IGNITETHEVOTE #cedarhillTX

Analyzing the key election trends in Michigan reveals significant shifts in voter behavior: - Record Support: President Trump received the highest number of Republican votes ever, with a 16.2% increase from 2016, winning 28 of 30 rapidly growing counties. - Rural Appeal: Support in rural areas surged by 7.4% since 2012, showing a marked increase in Republican backing. - AB/EV Voting Trends: Absentee and early voting skyrocketed by 62% from 2018 to 2022. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for strategic political campaigning and forecasting future election trends. Check out our blog to learn more: https://lnkd.in/ewCbizBt