Brent oil futures for June deliveries on the London ICE Futures exchange on Friday rose by 0.8% to $ 90.45 per barrel, and on Monday fell by 0.34% to $ 90.14 per barrel (-0.5% for the week, +4.5% for the month). Along with this, palm and soybean oil quotes fell. Malaysia increased crude palm oil production by 10.57% in March compared to February, reaching 1.39 million tons, and exports increased by 28.61% to 1.32 million tons, which reduced inventories by 10.68% to a 10-month low of 1.71 million tons. From April 1 to April 15, palm oil exports from Malaysia increased by 9.2% compared to the same period in March, reaching 633.7 thousand tons according to Intertek Testing Services and 28.5% to 697.45 thousand tons. After the end of Ramadan, oil production is expected to increase. In the April USDA report, the forecast for the production of veg oils in the world was increased from 222.85 to 223.17 million tons (against 217.88 million tons in 2022/23 MG), and the forecast for palm oil imports to India and China was reduced by 0.2 million tons to 9 and 6 million tons, respectively, and its exports from Indonesia were reduced by 0.35 million tons up to 27.35 million tons. May soybean oil futures in Chicago fell by 5.2% over the week to $ 1002 per ton (-7.2% per month) amid an increase in the supply of cheap soybeans from South America. Even data on the expansion of soybean processing in the United States did not support prices. According to NOPA, in March, soybean processing in the United States amounted to a record 5.35 million tons, which exceeded analysts' forecasts and by 5.7% - the March 2023 figure. Sales of soybean oil increased by 9.5% compared to February, reaching 840 thousand tons, which is almost the same as in March 2023. The average price of sunflower oil with delivery to customers decreased by 0.8% in a week to $873 per ton, and in Ukraine prices dropped by 5-10 dollars per ton to $800-805 per ton with delivery to the ports of the Black Sea, $840-850 per ton with delivery to Bulgaria, $880-890 per ton with delivery to Italy. Against the background of a decrease in the forecast for palm oil exports, the USDA raised the forecast for sunflower oil exports from Ukraine by 0.15 million tons to 5.9 million tons and Russia by 0.1 million tons to 4.4 million tons due to an increase in imports by Egypt by 0.25 million tons to 0.6 million tons. The cost of Black Sea sunflower oil remains stable, and India is concluding deals at a price of $ 960 per ton with deliveries in May. At the local level, the Indian market is active, but the depreciation of the euro against the dollar limits the ability of traders to meet local requirements. In Europe, prices for sunflower oil fluctuate around $ 960 per ton, while buyers tend to purchase it at a price of $ 940 per ton. It is expected that the price correction for sunflower oil will be completed in the near future, and prices in the range of 920-950 USD will present an attractive opportunity for buyers.
Anastasia Bazdikian’s Post
More Relevant Posts
-
📰 A 4.3% drop in #soybean #oil prices puts pressure on #palm and #sunflower oil markets 🤔 After a speculative gain of 11% since the start of July, soybean oil futures fell yesterday amid an improvement in the state of the US soybean crop and traders taking profits. 📉 August soybean futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange fell 4.3% to $1,020/t yesterday, giving up a week's gain but still remaining 5% higher than a month ago. ⚖ According to USDA's NASS, the number of U.S. soybeans in good or excellent condition increased 2% to 68% for the week (51% last year), which also increased pressure on soybean and soybean oil quotes. 📉 September Brent crude oil futures for 4 sessions fell by 3.3% to $84.6/barrel (-2% for the week, +4.1% for the month), which also negatively affects quotations of vegetable oils and oil cultures 📉 Awaiting the Malaysian Palm Oil Board's supply and demand report and following soybean oil prices, August palm oil futures on Bursa yesterday fell 2% to RM3,959/t or $841/t (-3.3% per week), as traders expect inventories to increase due to increased production and reduced exports. According to the average estimate of 12 planters, traders and analysts polled by Reuters, palm oil stocks rose by 4.53% to 1.83 million tons in June. 🔎 The average price of sunflower oil delivered to buyers during the week fell 0.8% to $920/t, amid increased competition from cheap palm oil in the Indian market and increased supply of canola oil in the EU, according to Trading Economics. 📻 Source: GrainTrade / Ukrainian electronic grain exchange Best regards. Agricultural commodity trader, Oleg Shklovtsov.
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
📰 #Rapeseed prices in #Ukraine remain at a #high level, supported by forecasts of a decrease in #soybean and #sunflower harvests 🤔 Over the past week, stock market quotations for rapeseed, soybeans and soybean oil fell sharply, which led to a drop in purchase prices for rapeseed in Ukraine, although demand for it remains quite high. 💡 August rapeseed futures on the Paris Stock Exchange remain under pressure from lower oil and soybean oil prices and are trading at €467.25/t or $509.5/t, in line with last month's level, although they have risen over the period and fell by 10%. 📉 December soybean oil futures in Chicago fell 7.3% to $998/t since July 8, giving up the speculative gains of the previous two weeks, but still 3% above last month's reading. 📉 September futures for Brent crude fell by 2.4% to $83.8/barrel over the same period, which is almost the same as the previous month. 📉 November canola futures on the Winnipeg exchange fell 4.7% to CAD 621/t or $454/t during this time (-0.6% for the month). 🔎 In Ukraine, the purchase prices for rape with delivery to the Black Sea ports decreased by UAH 300-500/t during the week to UAH 21,700-22,200/t or $470-475/t, but producers are beginning to hold back sales, hoping for an increase in prices on forecasts of a decrease soybean and sunflower harvest due to abnormal heat. 🔎 Demand prices for rapeseed deliveries to the EU in July-August have also fallen by €10/t to €455-460/t, but truckload offers are very low thanks to competitive prices at Black Sea ports. 💡 EU rapeseed oil prices continue to fall as supply increases, and are already lower than sunflower oil prices, which have been supported by possible crop reductions in Ukraine and the Russian Federation amid intense heat. 📻 Source: GrainTrade / Ukrainian electronic grain exchange Best regards. Agricultural commodity trader, Oleg Shklovtsov.
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
A 4.3% drop in soybean oil prices puts pressure on palm and sunflower oil markets fter a speculative gain of 11% since the start of July, soybean oil futures fell yesterday amid an improvement in the state of the US soybean crop and traders taking profits. August soybean futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange fell 4.3% to $1,020/t yesterday, giving up a week's gain but still remaining 5% higher than a month ago. According to USDA's NASS, the number of U.S. soybeans in good or excellent condition increased 2% to 68% for the week (51% last year), which also increased pressure on soybean and soybean oil quotes. September Brent crude oil futures for 4 sessions fell by 3.3% to $84.6/barrel (-2% for the week, +4.1% for the month), which also negatively affects quotations of vegetable oils and oil cultures Awaiting the Malaysian Palm Oil Board's supply and demand report and following soybean oil prices, August palm oil futures on Bursa yesterday fell 2% to RM3,959/t or $841/t (-3.3% per week), as traders expect inventories to increase due to increased production and reduced exports. According to the average estimate of 12 planters, traders and analysts polled by Reuters, palm oil stocks rose by 4.53% to 1.83 million tons in June. The average price of sunflower oil delivered to buyers during the week fell 0.8% to $920/t, amid increased competition from cheap palm oil in the Indian market and increased supply of canola oil in the EU, according to Trading Economics.
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
📰 #Rapeseed #price in Paris #rose another 2% to a 5-month high 🤔 The intentions of the European Commission to limit the supply of Russian agricultural products to the EU market supported the prices not only of wheat but also of rapeseed. 📈 May rape futures on the Paris MATIF rose 2% yesterday to the highest level since October 2023 at €457/t or $495.3/t (+3.1% for the week, +10% during March). August futures are still trading at the same level, which indicates that the market is ignoring forecasts of a decrease in harvest. ⚖ Experts of the Coceral agency predict that, due to the reduction of sowing areas, rapeseed production in the EU and Great Britain in 2024 will decrease compared to the previous year by 1.1 to 20.2 million tons. At the same time, the MARS agency increased the forecast of the average yield of rapeseed in the EU in 2024 to 3.25 t/ha, which will exceed last year by 2% due to abundant rainfall and mild winter. 🔎 In the current season, rapeseed prices reached a maximum of €513/t in July and then fell to €407/t in February. ⚖ According to Oil World estimates, the volume of rapeseed processing in the EU in the first half of 2023/24 MR reached a record 12.8 million tons and exceeded the corresponding figure last year by 0.65 million tons. But in January - June, they will traditionally decrease and amount to 11.9-12 million tons, given the decrease in domestic supply and low volumes of canola imports from Canada and Australia. ⚖ According to the Canadian Grain Commission, in FY 2023/24 Canada exported 3.8 million tons of canola as of March 17, which is 34% lower than last year due to high oil prices. 📈 Following canola prices, May canola futures on the Winnipeg exchange rose 2.4% yesterday to (+2.8% for the week, +10.5% for the month), so they are not interesting for EU importers. 🔎 High oil prices support rape quotes. May Brent crude futures rose 1.6% to $86.8/barrel yesterday, reversing losses of the past three sessions amid new attacks on Russian refineries and heightened geopolitical risks following the Crocus City Hall attack. 💡 According to the CFTC, large speculators increased their net long position in Brent crude oil futures and options to a one-year high, limiting further price gains in the near term. Attacks on Russian refineries will increase the supply of crude oil on the world market and limit the supply of gasoline and diesel fuel inside the Russian Federation. 🤔 Therefore, markets should be prepared for a collapse in oil prices, as well as for oilseeds, against the backdrop of a seasonal increase in the supply of soybeans and palm oil in April and May. 📻 Source: https://lnkd.in/e5GTsrek Best regards. Agricultural commodity trader, Oleg Shklovtsov.
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
📰 #Rapeseed prices support forecasts of a reduced crop in the EU and rising #oil prices 📈 June Brent crude oil futures rose 4% for the week to a 5.5-month high of $89/barrel amid Ukrainian drone attacks on an oil refinery in Tatarstan and an Israeli strike on an Iranian general in Syria. Such news leads to a speculative rise in oil prices, which supports quotations for vegetable oils used in the production of biodiesel. ⚖ The agency Strategie Grains lowered its forecast for rapeseed production in the EU in 2024 from 18.3 to 18.1 million tons, which would be 10% less than last year's 19.9 million tons, due to a lower than expected harvest in France. To compensate for the reduction in production, the EU will increase imports of rapeseed from Ukraine and Australia in the 2024/25 FY. 📈 At the same time, the agency's experts left the forecast for sunflower production in the EU in 2024 at the level of 10.7 million tons (which will exceed the 2023 harvest by 10%), and soybeans at the level of 3.1 million tons (9% more than last year). 📈 August new-harvest canola futures on the MATIF exchange rose 1.5% yesterday to €452/t or $487/t (+8.7% on the month), while May futures rose 1.7% to 445, €75/t or $480/t (+6.8% m/m) as they remain under pressure from low soybean prices due to a bumper crop in South America. 📊 May canola futures on the Winnipeg exchange last week fell 2.4% to CAD 635/t, or $468/t, adding 6.5% for the month amid rising MATIF quotes. Canola prices are being supported by a lack of rainfall in some parts of Canada, with November new crop canola futures trading CAD20/t higher than May. 🔎 In #Ukraine, rapeseed prices for delivery to Black Sea ports rose to UAH 17,000/t, and in the western regions for EXW-elevator for rail deliveries to Germany - to UAH 15,500-16,000/t against the background of the increase in the interbank dollar exchange rate. 🤔 Polish "farmers" continue to block Ukraine's border with Poland, which keeps rapeseed prices in the EU at a high level, although rapeseed stocks in Ukraine are almost exhausted. 📻 Source: https://lnkd.in/evaCeXxk Best regards. Agricultural commodity trader, Oleg Shklovtsov.
Rapeseed prices support forecasts of a reduced crop in the EU and rising oil prices
graintrade.com.ua
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
📰 Stable #crude #oil prices support quotations for #vegetable oils 🤔 Oil prices fell last week on easing tensions in the Middle East, but rose this week amid data on the U.S. economy, declining U.S. crude inventories and stronger demand for vegetable oils used in biodiesel production. 💡 According to S&P Global, business activity in the US fell to a 4-month low in April, which led to a decline in the dollar. Usually, in such periods, investors look for alternative assets, so the demand for oil increases. 📈 June Brent oil futures on the London ICE Futures exchange rose by 0.8% to $88/barrel (+2.3% for the month), and May WTI oil futures on the New York NYMEX rose by 0.8% to $88/barrel from Monday 0.7% to $82.8/barrel (+1.7% for the month). 📊 According to the EIA's weekly report, as of April 19, crude oil stocks in the US decreased by 6.37 million barrels, although analysts expected their increase by 2 million barrels. At the same time, distillate stocks increased by 1.6 million barrels, and gasoline stocks decreased by 634,000 barrels, while according to forecasts they were supposed to decrease by 1.75 million barrels. US crude oil production during April 13-19 remained at 13.1 million bpd, slightly below the recently set record of 13.3 million bpd. 💡 According to the Baker Hughes company, the number of active oil rigs in the USA for April 13-19 increased by 5 units, to a 7-month high of 511 units, which will allow production to increase shortly. 🤔 In April, after attacks by Ukrainian UAVs, Russian oil refineries reduced oil refining to an annual minimum of 5.23 million tons/day. At night, Ukrainian drones attacked two oil depots in the Smolensk region. 🔎 Despite lower exports, June #palm oil futures on Bursa Malaysia remain steady at RM3,940/t or $825/t (-1.8% weekly, -9.5% two-weekly) on support of high oil prices and heat in Malaysia. 🔎 May #soybean oil futures on the Chicago Stock Exchange fell to $982/t yesterday (-0.9% for the week, -6.6% for the fortnight) after Monday's gains on the back of picking up in Argentina and higher refining volumes soybeans 🔎 According to Trading Economics, the average price of #sunflower oil with delivery to buyers during the week remained at $868/t (-0.6% for two weeks), in particular, in Ukraine it was $790-800/t with delivery to Black Sea ports. 💡 Unblocking the border with Poland has increased the demand for Ukrainian sunflower oil from Polish biodiesel producers, who are offering $840-860/t for it with delivery to Poland, which exceeds the price of edible oil. At the same time, Bulgarian buyers reduce their asking prices. 📻 Source: https://lnkd.in/ejqHtjHg Best regards. Agricultural commodity trader, Oleg Shklovtsov.
Stable oil prices support quotations for vegetable oils
graintrade.com.ua
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
ICE canola hits 5-month high, following US soyoil strength May 13 (Reuters) - ICE canola futures climbed to a five-month high on Monday, following strength in allied vegetable oil markets including U.S. soyoil and Malaysian palm oil futures, traders said. Favorable planting weather in the Canadian Prairies kept farmers busy with field work, limiting hedge-related selling, they said. Most-active July canola RSN4 settled up $4.30 at $667.90 per metric ton, paring gains after reaching $669.60, its highest since Dec. 29, and November canola RSX4 ended up $5.40 at $687 a ton. The July-November canola spread RSN4-X4 weakened a bit, with the July contract widening its discount to the November to $19.10 per ton, from $18 a day earlier. Chicago Board of Trade July soybean futures SN24 inched higher, finishing up 1/2 U.S. cent at US$12.19-1/2 per bushel, while July soyoil BON24 led the complex higher, climbing 1.6% to end at 45.15 U.S. cents per pound on fund-driven short-covering, traders said. Euronext August rapeseed futures COMQ4 rose 0.41% and benchmark palm oil FCPOc3 futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rose 1.52%. *All figures in Canadian dollars unless noted
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
CIF/FOB Gulf Grain-Corn, soybean barge bids turn higher as futures slump Oct 14 (Reuters) - Basis bids for corn and soybeans shipped by barge to Gulf Coast export terminals rose on Monday, as futures prices fell and demand stayed steady, traders said. Traders said Chinese importers continue to be in the market for U.S. soybeans for shipment in November and December, while some buyers are also looking at possibly booking January shipments. The world's top soy importer is also looking at booking new-crop Brazilian soybeans, traders said. Elevated barge freight rates continued to underpin CIF basis values, as river levels — particularly along parts of the Mississippi River — continue to fall or are at near historic lows. CIF January soybean barges traded at 86 cents over Chicago Board of Trade January soybean SF25 futures. Meanwhile, CIF October soybean barges were bid 9 cents higher at about 100 cents over Chicago Board of Trade November soybean SX24 futures. FOB offers for November soybean shipments held at around 113 cents over futures and December offers were about 97 cents over January SF25 futures. CIF corn barges loaded in October were bid 4 cents higher at 74 cents over CBOT December CZ24 futures. FOB Gulf offers for November corn shipments stayed at about 114 cents over futures, while offers for December shipments were steady at about 112 cents over futures.
To view or add a comment, sign in
-
📰 Sunflower oil is falling in #price amid falling prices for palm and soybean #oil 🤔 Oil prices fell slightly yesterday after earlier speculative gains, despite Iran's shelling of Israel on Saturday, as the latter has not yet responded to the attack, and therefore the conflict has not escalated into open military confrontation. 📈 Brent June futures on London's ICE Futures exchange rose 0.8% to $90.45/barrel on Friday and fell 0.34% to $90.14/barrel on Monday (-0, 5% per week, +4.5% per month). 🤔 Oil prices were followed by palm oil and soybean oil quotes, especially as a report from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board turned out to be more upbeat than traders expected, adding pressure on quotes. 💡 According to the report, Malaysia in March compared to February increased crude palm oil production by 10.57% to 1.39 million tons and exports by 28.61% to 1.32 million tons, as a result of which stocks decreased by 10, 68% to the 10-month low of 1.71 million tons. 📉 June #palm oil futures on Bursa Malaysia yesterday fell 1.86% to 4,204 ringgit/t or $880/t (-2.2% for the week). 🔎 For April 1-15, the export of palm oil from Malaysia increased in comparison with the same period in March by 9.2% to 633.7 thousand tons according to the estimates of the surveyor Intertek Testing Services and by 28.5% to 697.45 thousand tons according to the data of the surveyor Amspec Agri Malaysia. After the end of Ramadan, oil production will increase. ⚖ In an April report, the USDA raised its forecast for global production of vegetable oils from 222.85 to 223.17 million tons (217.88 million tons in FY 2022/23), and lowered its forecast for palm oil imports to India and China by 0.2 million tons to 9 and 6 million tons, respectively, and its export from Indonesia by 0.35 to 27.35 million tons. 📉 May futures for #soybean oil in Chicago for the week fell by 5.2% to $1,002/t (-7.2% for the month) against the background of increasing offers of cheap soybeans from South America. Quotations were not supported even by data on the increase in soybean processing in the USA. 🔎 According to Trading Economics, for the week the average price of #sunflower oil with delivery to buyers decreased by 0.8% to $873/t, and in Ukraine prices fell by $5-10/t to $800-805/t with delivery to ports Black Sea, $840-850/t with delivery to Bulgaria, $880-890/t with delivery to Italy. 📊 Against the backdrop of a decrease in the forecast of palm oil exports, the USDA increased the forecast of sunflower oil exports from Ukraine by 0.15 to 5.9 million tons and the Russian Federation by 0.1 to 4.4 million tons due to an increase in imports by Egypt by 0.25 to 0.6 million t. 📻 Source: https://lnkd.in/e5msGt7y Best regards. Agricultural commodity trader, Oleg Shklovtsov.
Sunflower oil is falling in price amid falling prices for palm and soybean oil
graintrade.com.ua
To view or add a comment, sign in