The recent death of President Raisi took the world by surprise, but how much of an impact will it have on Iran and the Middle East? I've shared my thoughts for Global Weekly below. An election at the end of the month will see a new hard-line conservative President ushered in by the regime. He will be loyal to the Supreme Leader and won't look to rock the boat. Suppression of protest and opposition will continue. The regime will continue to support its network of proxies and paramilitary groups across the region, from Yemen to Lebanon and Syria. Tensions within an already strained Middle East will continue to mount. And the Iranian economy, hit by sanctions, will continue to deteriorate, despite efforts at cooperation with Russia and China. Read more on the link below! #iran #MENA #geopolitics #politicalrisk #internationalaffairs
James Raftery: "While President Raisi’s death will likely cause some short-term regime instability in Iran, with an emergency election at the end of June, Khamenei will likely usher in a loyal, conservative hardliner who will continue to govern as the Supreme Leader wishes. This President will likely see Khamenei's successor, his son Mojtaba, continue to govern in his father's footsteps." https://lnkd.in/e6CQHfxP #Iran #Raisi #GlobalWeekly #Geopolitics #MiddleEast