Jeffrey Bardin’s Post

In following the annual Iran Free conference in Berlin this year (as we follow the rally every year), we find the Iranian regime is resorting to complete fabrications and lies demonstrating a desperation we have not seen in past years. This year, we see that the French government pulled one over on the Iranian MOIS staging a 'raid' just as false as Iran's recent posts. Below is the brief. MOIS False Tactics and Ruses - Hostage Diplomacy In an indirect response to staunch support from 510 German legislators for Maryam Rajavi's 10-point plan and the MKO's fight against the IRGC, the Iranian regime has intensified efforts to destabilize and discredit opposition groups. German legislators condemned Iran's human rights abuses, advocated for designating the #IRGC as a terrorist organization, and called for a democratic republic in Iran. Considering the #IranFree2024 rally scheduled for June 29 in Berlin, our analysis reveals the regime's use of blatant inconsistencies, disinformation, and desperate lies to counteract this support. Read the brief #IranianRegime, #DisinformationCampaign, #MKO, #Desperation, #InternationalSupport, #DemocraticChange, #GermanLegislators, #Support, #Condemnation, #PoliticalChange, #SecurityMeasures, #PublicAwareness, #InternationalCooperation, #MitigatingRegimeEfforts, #SuccessfulOppositionActivities, #10pointplan, #Rajavi, #MEK, #BerlinDemo2024, #IranFree2024

In his Ynet article, Ben-Dror Yemini argues that U.S. policy toward Iran and Hezbollah is emboldening aggression, not promoting peace. By weakening sanctions and withholding support for Israel, Yemini claims the U.S. is enabling regional instability. Read more of his analysis here: https://lnkd.in/gMYPNTTV

Could either be seen as US’ complicity with Israel or US’ waning influence or deliberate inaction/selective action to suit domestic American pressures. China (and Russia) will milk this for strategic gains especially in Asia and global south. Other countries’ faith in international law and rules-based order and diplomacy would decline, thus paving the way for more arms procurements by their militaries to ensure deterrence. Or looking to expand their diplomatic options, viz. SCO and BRICS. https://lnkd.in/gYKXhd4q

Agent of Chaos & Destruction Experts say Israeli Prime Minister has created the conditions for a regional war.  They say Mr. Benjamin Netanyahu never had any intention of signing the Gaza ceasefire deal & the US has lost control. As speculation mounts on how & from where Hezbollah & Iran and its allies will attack Israel, whether will it be limited or extensive and whether it will only target Israeli Government & military infrastructure and spare civilians. Many unknowns that are forcing Israel to prepare for the attacks & the US to send additional war ships to the region as a precaution & to defend Israel. Late-stage diplomacy intensifies to avert 'big explosion' in Middle East Do Read: https://lnkd.in/e9URQr7p “As all eyes are on Lebanon and on Hezbollah leader Mr. Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah is in a “damned if you do and damned if you don’t” situation. The only scenario that will save the day is third-party involvement.” Dr. Dania Khatib argues Lebanon should take up Turkish President HE Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s offer to step in as Turkish intervention might be what both parties need in order to avoid full-scale war. Do Read: https://lnkd.in/eHBSMBxC I urge Iran and Hezbollah to de-escalate & opt for a controlled attack & not  play into the hands of Netanyahu & let him set the course of events and set the region on fire. The Middle East needs change but Netanyahu, the agent of chaos, war & destruction is not the answer. Sheikh Hasina has resigned its time Netanyahu does too. One thing is certain no one knows how events will unfold as no one has all the cards. I hope for once the US, UK & EU will act sensibly & do the right thing. US President HE Joe Biden has nothing to lose & a lot to gain by doing the right thing. = = = Also Read I. Bangladesh prime minister resigns  Do Read: https://lnkd.in/et97EN4E II. What's behind the spread of violent far-right protests in the UK Do Watch: https://lnkd.in/eZrwg9Rh

China blasts Israel at the UN: "This is a grave violation of the UN Charter and international law and a breach of the sovereignty of both Syria and Iran. This attack is of an extremely vicious nature... 25 years ago, China's embassy in Yugoslavia was bombed by a US-led NATO airstrike... we feel the grief and pain of the Iranian government and people... To allow impunity for such reckless acts would send a seriously wrong signal and would encourage even more risky acts... the red line of international law and the basic norms of international relations has been breached time and again, and the moral bottom line of human conscience has been crushed time and again." https://lnkd.in/eVYMPQdX China condemns the attack on the Iranian Embassy in Syria. The security of diplomatic institutions should not be violated and Syria’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity must be respected. We oppose any act that would escalate the tensions.

NOW CHINA’S TURN: “China blasts Israel at the UN: "This is a grave violation of the UN Charter and international law and a breach of the sovereignty of both Syria and Iran. This attack is of an extremely vicious nature... 25 years ago, China's embassy in Yugoslavia was bombed by a US-led NATO airstrike... we feel the grief and pain of the Iranian government and people... To allow impunity for such reckless acts would send a seriously wrong signal and would encourage even more risky acts... the red line of international law and the basic norms of international relations has been breached time and again, and the moral bottom line of human conscience has been crushed time and again." https://lnkd.in/eVYMPQdX China condemns the attack on the Iranian Embassy in Syria. The security of diplomatic institutions should not be violated and Syria’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity must be respected. We oppose any act that would escalate the tensions.” #stopgenocide #newestworldorder #balanceofpower #globalconflict #diplomacy #changingroles #multipolarism

Ending the Palestinian-Israeli conflict requires political will and diplomatic efforts, according to a Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson, Mao Ning. She criticized the U.S. for imposing sanctions on Hamas funding while providing substantial military aid to Israel. The ongoing conflict has led to over 40,000 deaths in Gaza, disproportionately impacting women and children. The international consensus calls for de-escalation, civilian protection, and prevention of a humanitarian crisis. Mao stressed that major powers must be objective and uphold international law to mediate effectively and swiftly end the violence. She noted Israel's intentions to retaliate against Iran, which has vowed a firm response to potential strikes on its infrastructure. China expressed deep concern over Middle Eastern instability, urging all parties to approach the situation calmly to foster regional peace and stability. The spokesperson called on influential nations to play a constructive role in preventing further escalation, advocating for diplomatic solutions rather than military ones. #AsiaRisk #GeopoliticalConflictandDisputes #China Follow us for daily updates on risk and operations in Asia! https://lnkd.in/gehGF4ja

Instructif !

The stunning fall of the Assad regime in #Syria will scramble the balance of power in the Middle East, argue Natasha Hall and Joost Hiltermann in Foreign Affairs. Together, they discuss: 👉 Why Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham and other opposition groups were able to sweep through Syria with little resistance. 👉 How the unresolved issues of Turkey's conflict with the Kurds and imprisoned ISIS fighters could complicate Syria's transition. 👉 Whether Abu Mohammed al-Jolani's conciliatory tone towards minority groups and former regime officials will last. Read their full article below to find out more: https://lnkd.in/eZJEuKtb

Too many very dangerous conflicts that can escalate any time and if you prepare for war you get war not PEACE ✌️☮️ Three dangerzones right now that can blow up any time the United Nations are failing at restoring peace and diplomacy seems to be a thing of the past! Can all three explode💥? So what will we see? Who can de escalate? The #UN #NATO #China #Brasil #Russia #BRICS+ #UNSC #UNGA #EU who?🤔 Taiwan 💥 Ukraine 💥 Gaza💥 Ukraine 💥 Gaza💥 Taiwan 💥 Gaza💥 Taiwan 💥 Ukraine 💥 Under Chapter VII of the UN Charter, the Security Council can take enforcement measures to maintain or restore international peace and security. Such measures range from economic sanctions to international military action. The Council also establishes UN Peacekeeping Operations and Special Political Missions. The Security Council takes the lead in determining the existence of a threat to the peace or an act of aggression. It calls upon the parties to a dispute to settle it by peaceful means and recommends methods of adjustment or terms of settlement. There should never again be a VETO against peace! #NeverAgain Now is the time to unite for peace! ☮️✌️ Take a look at my profile featured posts to see how ! Business for Peace! Needs your support! help me connect the dots for peace! Peace starts with #Connection #Justice #Freedom #Negotiations ……