I continue to be flabbergasted at the response to the Science Based Targets initiative's announcement last week. It's worth taking a moment to read, again, what they said. Here's the operative statement: "SBTi recognizes that, when properly supported by policies, standards and procedures based on scientific evidence, the use of environmental attribute certificates for abatement purposes on Scope 3 emissions could function as an additional tool to tackle climate change." This is hardly the unambiguous endorsement of carbon markets it's being painted to be. If we want to claim to make decisions based on science, we have to adhere to the most basic principles of science, one of which is to avoid leaping to conclusions ahead of both the collection of data and its analysis. Read the above quotation again - that's the "data" we have to base conclusions on. Now look at some of the conclusions people are leaping to: "The move was a corporate takeover of SBTi that will undermine any 'science-based' credibility they had." "This 'wild move' is an attempt to keep the business model [of offsets] alive, it's not an attempt to save the climate." "[The decision] renders the standard for climate action meaningless." None of the people who made these quotations has seen the actual proposal that will result from the board's announcement - not the system it sets up, not the safeguards it puts in place, not the scope of emissions it might effect, not the considerations it will be based on. They are reaching conclusions far, far, far ahead of the data. I know we live in an era of hot takes and instant outrage, but even by our own dismal standards of civility this response has been remarkable. Please, everyone, just hold some mental space that your initial, knee-jerk response to this announcement and what it MIGHT mean could - COULD - be incorrect.
Since the pushback came from their own staff and technical advisory group as well as cofounders of SBTi, perhaps we should consider the possibility that it's warranted. We have been holding "mental space" for thirty years for the increasingly remote possibility that voluntary, industry-led initiatives will turn out to be anything but a well-funded diversion from the task at hand. It's exhausting watching the planet burn while being assured that loopholes aren't loopholes and we should wait until all the data is in. Enough.
The wording "properly supported by policies, standards and procedures is key in my personal opinion. I'm not sure how we can get financing in particular to developing economies but a high quality carbon credit with proper measurement, verification and reporting that is supported by government policies that funnel these funds into for example moving away from coal or preventing further deforestation and develop better national systems of innovation to support economic growth in climate friendly innovation and technologies is a start. Many developing economies depend on very non climate friendly industries and with proper policies this is an opportunity to change that. Nasdaq has a new MSTP that can help solve some of the tracking issues so the underlying technology is getting there to support high integrity markets scale. We also need some of these countries to focus policies on developing enforecement of laws and social systems. Not an easy task but in my opinion again this is what SBTi is getting at.
I think the announcement felt like an attack to the identities of many people who have proudly taken a "without markets" approach to climate action. And the need to defend one's identity will naturally result in a more emotionally-driven response. Just look to how the pro-markets side responded after John Oliver (myself included) to see how this may be a more universal phenomenon. Anyway, human psychology is fascinating.
A sobering reminder to pause and consider before drawing conclusions. The Science Based Targets initiative's statement, while nuanced, has sparked a wave of reactions. It's crucial to base our assessments on data, not assumptions. As we navigate the complexities of climate action, let's maintain a stance grounded in science and open-mindedness. Rushing to judgment risks missing the nuances and potential impact of the proposal. Thank you for highlighting the importance of thoughtful consideration in our responses to critical issues like climate change. 🌍🔬 #ScienceBasedTargets #ClimateAction #DataDriven #theConspectus
Thanks for this refreshing take! It seems to be a (very) unpopular opinion, but Scope 3 engagement is painfully slow, and disallowing credits hindered progress. Effort had to go into proving traceability in unbelievably complex and dynamic supply chains before you could engage and claim it on your scope 3 target. This conviction that action must be provably in a specific supply chain is not evidence based. I understand the concern around giving permission to companies to offset instead of mitigate, and for the potential for allowing poor quality offsets for high quality losses, but some fairly straight forward rules on the type, quality and location of credit could prevent that, and there is good reason to think the process would consider these things.
Agree with you Nathan.
Amen
Co-Founder, Global Citizen | Author of “From Ideas to Impact” (Wiley 2024) | Professor, Columbia University | Speaker, Board Member and Forbes.com Contributor
8moThanks Nathan. I too have been flabbergasted by the events this week and have have no idea how this spiraled out of control. Its not good for Science Based Targets initiative brand and it also paints a binary picture, which is more nuanced. Am very concerned by this as someone who has advocated for SBTi for a long time and felt we were seeing a joined up approach post-COP28.