NY Daily Trends’ Post

🔥 The 10 Crises of 2024 - #10 US-China     iMEdD presents the 10 crises that are likely to concern us in 2024.      The last text of the series explores the developments in the trade and geostrategic competition between the US and China, and outlines the potential impacts of the American elections on the relations between the two countries.     Read more at https://lnkd.in/dYeUnz6a   #Explainer

Georgia heads to the polls on 26th October in an election that is widely portrayed as a bid for the survival of the country's opposition, democracy, and trajectory towards the European Union (EU). Democratic backsliding, corruption, and Russian influence await on the other side. 📜 The latest report from Central Asia and the Caucasus Desk by Eva Kristinova aims to present the more nuanced picture that hides behind the Russia-EU dichotomy - a country battling political polarisation and popular disillusionment, while navigating a changing geopolitical and security environment. Follow the link to read the report: https://lnkd.in/ezCVycJM #politicalrisk #elections #georgia #democracy #EU

This is concerning: A report from the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians (NSICOP) reveals that some Canadian politicians are collaborating with foreign governments to advance their own interests, leading to potential illegal behavior. The report highlights instances of parliamentarians receiving support from foreign missions, accepting funds or benefits, providing privileged information to foreign officials, and improperly influencing Parliamentary colleagues. NSICOP cites concerns about the slow response by the Canadian government to threats from countries like China and India targeting Canada's democratic process with interference. The report recommends reforms to address foreign interference, including extending Elections Canada's jurisdiction and introducing amendments to Canadian law. The Trudeau government recently introduced legislation, Bill C-70, to address some of these recommendations.

The content of our weekly ViewsLetter "Making Sense of this World" is available on Rosa Roubini Associates' website. In my column, titled “Global Politics In Turmoil: What Will Emerge From The Chaos?”, I discuss: 1. The result of the second round of the #French legislative elections; 2. Victor #Orban’s visit to #Kiev and #Moscow and the outcry it created in Brussels; 3. Marine #LePen’s announcement that she would have withdrawn her authorisation to use the long-distance weapons supplied by France to Ukraine if she had won; 4. In #US, how Democrat donors are asking Joe #Biden to step aside; 5. The two emerging scandals for #Trump: his involvement with Epstein and on #Project2025; and 6. The results of the #UK elections, with its orderly and civilised transition of power. Read it here: https://lnkd.in/dHv6f6Z

The content of our weekly ViewsLetter "Making Sense of this World" is available on Rosa Roubini Associates' website. In his column, titled “Global Politics In Turmoil: What Will Emerge From The Chaos?”, Prof. Brunello Rosa reviews and discusses: 1. The result of the second round of the #French legislative elections; 2. Victor #Orban’s visit to #Kiev and #Moscow and the outcry it created in Brussels; 3. Marine #LePen’s announcement that she would have withdrawn her authorisation to use the long-distance weapons supplied by France to Ukraine if she had won; 4. In #US, how Democrat donors are asking Joe #Biden to step aside; 5. The two emerging scandals for #Trump: his involvement with Epstein and on Project 2025; and 6. The results of the #UK elections, with its orderly and civilised transition of power. Read it here: https://lnkd.in/dHv6f6Z

The people of the Solomon Islands are set to vote for their next government on April 17. This election could have repercussions for the rest of the Asia Pacific region due to the country's close relationship with China. The Pacific state's 760,000 citizens are spread across its 900 islands and 28,230 square kilometres (10,900 square miles) of territory, making this one of the most logistically challenging elections in the world. #asia #geopolitics #china #solomonislands https://lnkd.in/giQHqVjt

The 2024 Iranian presidential election underscored the controlled and contentious nature of Iran's electoral process. Candidates are vetted by the Guardian Council, which ensures adherence to Islamic Republic principles, often excluding reformist voices. Campaigning is restricted, and candidates must avoid criticism of the Supreme Leader. Low voter turnout reflected widespread disillusionment, exacerbated by economic hardships and political repression. Allegations of manipulation persist due to historical irregularities, challenging the elections' integrity. The presidency, while influential in governance and international relations, remains subordinate to the Supreme Leader, highlighting ongoing political dynamics and reform struggles in Iran. Read further at https://lnkd.in/dqNHRXbb #IranElections #IranPolitics #PresidentialElections #ElectionIntegrity #PoliticalReform #MiddleEastPolitics #geopolitics 

China has interfered in numerous democratic elections globally post-Cold War, using varied aims and methods. These range from supporting pro-China candidates to undermining democratic processes through political donations, United Front activities, intimidation, media and cyber disinformation, and cyberattacks. Such interference is more prevalent in countries with significant Chinese diasporas. Taiwan is the most important target, facing every conceivable interference method, including threats of war. Other affected nations include Canada, the United States, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, the Philippines, and South Korea, with potential underreported cases suggesting broader interference. No sustained campaigns in Europe have been noted, but there is a potential future risk that China might focus more on Europe in the future. Read our new brief, written by Alexis von Sydow: https://lnkd.in/db8Janpk 

Why South Africa’s election matters for Ukraine: As South Africa braces for a landmark election, discontent with the ANC party coincides with broader geopolitical considerations, including the country’s stance on Russia’s war against Ukraine. By Ray Hartley & Greg Mills. South Africans will flock to the polls on May 29 for the country’s most important general election since the advent of its non-racial democracy in April 1994. According to most opinion polls, the ruling African National Congress (ANC) party, Africa’s oldest liberation movement, is expected to fall below a 50% majority. The reasons for this shift are clear. South Africans are largely disappointed in the ANC’s performance, with 80% believing the country is heading in the wrong direction and over half consistently blaming the ANC. Just 10% of voters now attribute issues to the country’s history of racial separation, reflecting the concerns of a modern generation. Read full article here: https://lnkd.in/eMWjxx8i

Israels worrying behaviour Israel is increasingly being labeled a "rogue state" by critics, particularly in light of its recent military actions and disregard for international norms. This characterization stems from the escalating violence in Gaza and the West Bank, where Israeli forces have conducted extensive military operations following the October 7, 2023, attacks by Hamas. The conflict has resulted in significant civilian casualties, with reports indicating that over 34,000 Palestinians have died since the onset of hostilities. Critics argue that Israel's actions violate fundamental principles of international humanitarian law, which mandates the protection of civilians during armed conflicts. Reports from organizations such as Human Rights Watch and Amnesty International have accused Israel of using prohibited weapons and targeting medical facilities, further exacerbating the humanitarian crisis in Gaza. The ongoing siege has left more than 1.1 million residents facing severe food insecurity. Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Mustafa has explicitly labeled Israel as a rogue state during discussions at the UN Security Council, asserting that Israel acts above the law and violates the sovereignty of neighboring countries. He emphasized that Israel's military aggression is pushing the region toward broader conflict, calling for international accountability for its actions. The term "rogue state" has historically been used to describe nations that defy international norms and engage in unpredictable foreign policies. In this context, Israel's continued military operations in Gaza and its aggressive posture towards Hezbollah and Iran are seen as emblematic of such behavior. Analysts warn that these actions could provoke a wider regional war, drawing in other nations and destabilizing an already volatile Middle East. Despite widespread condemnation from various countries and calls for ceasefires, Israel's leadership, particularly Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, remains defiant. Netanyahu's recent speeches indicate a commitment to continue military operations against Hamas without a clear strategy for resolution or consideration for civilian casualties. The international community's response has been mixed. While some nations have suspended arms sales to Israel due to its conduct, others, notably the United States, continue to provide unwavering support. This dynamic raises questions about the effectiveness of international mechanisms designed to uphold peace and security. In conclusion, Israel's actions in recent months have led to increasing scrutiny and criticism from various quarters, prompting discussions about its status as a rogue state. As the situation evolves, the need for accountability and adherence to international law remains crucial for restoring stability in the region.