Blue Lens: Australian housing supply and demand, not so simple - Much of the discussion around Australia’s worsening housing affordability challenges offers a market-based supply response as the ideal solution. - But responding to these challenges with new supply, in the absence of pushing just as hard on other policies, is unlikely to materially improve affordability, even in the medium term. - Pragmatic interventions to manage demand and limit the misallocation of housing may well hold more promise than supply alone. - More Edward Scissorhands and less the invisible hand perhaps. https://lnkd.in/gTZhGqP5
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I recently attended the launch of the report on the 'State of the Housing System 2024' in Sydney, by the Minister for Housing and Homelessness. The report was the culmination of a lot of hard work from the recently established National Housing Supply and Affordability Council, and the conclusion of my short consultancy with Treasury (at the Office of the Council). It was a real privilege to have worked with such a great team on this. I’m happy to say the report avoids making the quantum leap of quick, neat solutions to the complex knot of policy problems bound up in availability of housing in Australia. But it does clearly articulate what needs to change to improve housing supply and affordability in Australia, and the broad church of actors who are implicated in catalysing this change. I’m also happy to say it was cited liberally in the 2024 Budget Papers. Over and above the findings of the report, it is clear to me that – as with so many other complex challenges Australia is facing at present – change will require a whole of nation effort, not unlike the other great social transformations of our past. This is a matter of understanding and engaging the power structures which underpin the political economy of Australia’s housing crisis, and the collective action problems which lie in the path of its redress. This in turn will require us all to work together to bridge the yawning gap of mutual distrust and dismissal that is public discourse in this day and age. Inevitably this must begin with our own mental models and mindsets, and the organisational cultures through which we work.
The independent National Housing Supply and Affordability Council today released its inaugural State of the Housing System report. The report is an overview of the state and functioning of Australia’s housing system, assessing demand and supply conditions and how these influence dwelling prices and rents. To find out more visit: https://lnkd.in/g-_Zt-tu
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"Emerging from the numerous important takeaways are some key “game-changers”. These are policy moves that, when coordinated across all orders of government, could transform Canada’s housing landscape and go a long way toward delivering the more and better homes that Canadians deserve. Legalize density: Focusing housing growth in cities and communities, where there is existing infrastructure like roads and water lines, is faster, less costly, lower carbon and more resilient. Implement better building codes: Better building form can reduce operating costs, cut emissions, and improve resilience. Invest in factory-built housing: Factory-built housing and other process and material innovations can speed up construction, reduce costs, and systematize energy-efficient and climate-resilient features. Don’t build in high-risk areas: The most expensive home is the one you need to rebuild after an extreme weather event" #housingforall Smart Prosperity Institute
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How Economic and Demographic Factors Shape Australia’s Housing Market Key demand drivers | Affordability | Population Growth | Migration and demographic changes | Consumer Confidence | Positive economic outlooks and expectations of rising property values boost demand. | Government Policies and Incentives | Construction Costs | Land Availability | Economic Conditions | Government Policies | Infrastructure Development https://lnkd.in/gvYkgsi5
Major Drivers of Housing Demand and Supply in Australia
capitalewm.com
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Only days after South Australia topped CommSec's State of the States report, there's more good news on the State's housing front with South Australia ranked number one in Housing Industry Association (HIA)'s Housing Scorecard. The Scorecard ranks each of the eight states and territories based on the performance of 13 key residential building indicators against their decade average, covering detached and multi-unit building activity, renovations, housing finance and rates of overseas and interstate migration. South Australia is number one in the detached housing market indicators and the renovation sector, helping propel SA to top spot for the second straight scorecard, having also been ranked first in the nation in July 2023. This result demonstrates the efforts the State Government continues to make to address the housing crisis and improve the housing and building industry and it is clear that it is making a difference. We have bold strategies to bring more housing into the market by increasing supply, affordability and density in strategic sites.
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In our May Monthly Insights & Strategies Report, we revisit our "Housing Crisis or Opportunity?" report from October, and provide an update against the government initiatives outlined in Budget 2024. Along with the CMHC Housing Market Outlook, published the next day, we see continuing pressure on housing availability and affordability in Canada, with housing starts continuing to trend lower through 2024 and demand increasing from record population growth.
Insights and Strategies
raymondjames.ca
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The Task Force for Housing & Climate's recently released Blueprint for More and Better Housing presents recommendations for federal, provincial and municipal governments for building 5.8 million homes in Canada that are affordable, low-carbon and resilient. One of the key 'game-changers' from the report includes: 🏗️ Investing in factory-built housing to accelerate innovation in homebuilding by creating an investment fund to help companies advance mass timber, modular housing, low-carbon concrete, panelization and other innovative housing technologies that are capable of achieving scale, driving down costs, lowering carbon footprints and increasing climate resilience for housing. When it comes to building more and better housing, we need to decide where we build, what we build, how we build, why we build and foundations for success. 💭 What resonates with you from the report? Which recommendations feel the most challenging right now? Comment below ⬇ https://lnkd.in/g2wvutiH #Housing #Affordability #MassTimber #CDNPoli #LowCarbon #Resilience
BLUEPRINT FOR MORE AND BETTER HOUSING
https://housingandclimate.ca
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With the Labour government setting targets to build 300,000 new homes annually, Dr Riette Oosthuizen MRTPI reflects on the welcome changes brought in following the recent consultation on the National Planning Policy Framework. “The government seems aware that it is essential to create homes where there is infrastructure to support growth. Large suburban extensions without necessary connectivity and social infrastructure are not sustainable, nor will they change behavioural patterns to reduce long-term car use.” Read the full column at Property Week https://lnkd.in/eet7bGCm
There's light at the end of the housing tunnel | Property Week
propertyweek.com
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Housing availability and affordability continue to be enormous societal and policy challenges. Scalability is crucial for success. Read the full report here.
Australian Housing Accessibility Challenge | Business Research and Insights
business.nab.com.au
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Australia set to fall 200,000 homes short of target In a recent media release by the Housing Industry Association (HIA), their economics team shared a concerning fact that “Australia is set to commence construction on little more than a million #newhomes over the next five years, almost 200,000 short of the Australian government’s target,” stated HIA Senior Economist Tom Devitt. Year-on-year (YoY) observed changes show that most states experienced a significant slump in new dwelling starts throughout 2016-2019 and again in 2022-2023. Although there is some sign of recovery from these decade-low construction starts, the HIA believe that there is a possibility to cover this 200,000 gap in five years with changes to housing policy reforms. #NSW regains it's 1st place position in the forecasted 2025 figures, with #QLD also closing the gap between 1st, 2nd (#VIC) and 3rd. #WA and #SA are also seeing growth, with #NT set to receive a monumental boost - possibly in response to decades-long low numbers and the increased demand for affordable properties. https://lnkd.in/gnPEQmt9 888 Development Group are committed to provding more affordable housing options in residential land markets across SE-QLD, metro VIC and regional VIC. If you're looking for land, reach out to us.
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Another article from PSA Consulting in a focus on planning, transport and infrastructure issues affecting communities. Kate Burke is an experienced, thoughtful and practical professional and identifies a range of implementable actions worth consideration and application in your local context. #creatingbetterplaces #integratedsolutions #betterplanning
Housing diversity continues to be a challenge for state and local governments. 70% of all homes in Australia are detached single dwellings 🏠 Kate Burke, Associate Director at PSA Consulting, believes that the ‘gentle density’ approach to planning can help solve the current housing crisis in the long term. Read what she thinks the challenges are and how governments can make meaningful changes to improve housing across Australia. https://lnkd.in/gDijuceV Image source: degenhartSHEDD
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