Snow Leopard Financial Group’s Post

NATO won’t be part of Ukraine conflict, it won’t cross this line, says Scholz According to the German chancellor, the NATO summit will discuss the strengthening of its role in coordinating support for Ukraine and training the Ukrainian armed forces BERLIN, June 26/ NATO is not and will not be part of the conflict in Ukraine, Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz said. "The NATO summit will discuss the strengthening of its role in coordinating support for Ukraine and training [the Ukrainian armed forces]," Scholz said at the Bundestag in regard to the EU and NATO summits, due to be held on June 27-28 and July 9-11 respectively. "It is simultaneously obvious and I find it important to state that due to what we are doing, NATO will not be part of the conflict. We will not cross this line and we are not crossing it," he said. The chancellor claimed that NATO was unanimously concerning this issue. "Transatlantic security is of central importance, including when we think about Ukraine’s security prospects," Scholz said. The next NATO summit will be held in the US capital on July 9-11. US officials have repeatedly stated that Kiev will not receive an invitation to join the North Atlantic Alliance at the Washington summit. On July 11, 2023, the NATO summit in Vilnius adopted a final statement asserting that Ukraine’s future is in the alliance, but adding that the invitation to Kiev to join NATO could be extended "when Allies agree and conditions are met." However, no possible timeline for admission was specified. Prior to the Vilnius summit, Kiev had been making persistent statements about its aspiration to receive the membership invitation. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky even said that he might not attend the summit if it made no decision to invite Kiev, but afterwards he still opted to travel to Vilnius. In September 2022, Ukraine applied for fast-tracked admission to NATO. The alliance has repeatedly said that it is impossible to join NATO as long as the country is in a state of an armed conflict. #business #finance #financialservices

NATO desires to indicate assist for Ukraine, however solely up to a degree https://lnkd.in/dPNw4Pm6 When NATO leaders collect this summer season to have fun the seventy fifth anniversary of their navy alliance, the very last thing they need to see is a resurgent Russian military marching by means of Ukraine as a result of Europe was too weak to provide Kiev the assist it wanted. What Ukraine finally desires is a proper invitation to affix NATO. However alliance officers agree that gained't occur on the festivities deliberate in Washington in July. NATO has no need to confront a brand new member who, due to the alliance's collective safety pact, would drag it into the most important floor conflict in Europe since 1945. This has led NATO to hunt a center floor, one thing aside from membership however substantial sufficient to indicate that it’s backing Ukraine “for the long run,” as NATO Secretary Normal Jens Stoltenberg put it this week. . It has up to now confirmed elusive, based on senior Western diplomats concerned within the discussions. Proposals offered this week at a gathering of overseas ministers in Brussels to provide NATO extra management over the coordination of navy help, financing and coaching of Ukrainian forces have been instantly met with skepticism. America and Germany stay against providing Ukraine a begin to membership negotiations in Brussels as they did finally 12 months's summit in Vilnius, and need that problem taken off the desk in July, regardless of an identical course of within the European Union that was accepted final 12 months. winter. However they do need to provide Ukraine particular commitments that it may fulfill. Efforts to obviously outline what circumstances Ukraine should meet to begin talks with NATO haven’t but moved ahead. And none of this stuff might matter come July if Russia continues to realize floor and Ukraine seems at risk of shedding the conflict, a prospect that has turn out to be extra actual every month that Republicans in Congress proceed to dam a $60,000 help bundle. million {dollars} for kyiv. “The scenario on the bottom might look a lot worse than it’s at present, after which the true query is: 'How will we make certain Russia doesn't win?'” stated Ivo H. Daalder, former U.S. ambassador to NATO. . “That may change the entire nature of the controversy. We are able to all assume that the NATO summit shall be held as if it have been the identical as at present, however it won’t be like that,” stated Daalder, president of the Chicago World Affairs Council. “The final two months haven’t been good for Ukraine and there may be nothing in sight that may enhance.” Final 12 months, at a NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, Ukraine was as soon as once more assured that it might in the future be granted full membership within the alliance,

The recent suggestion by #French President Emmanuel Macron that the #West may eventually deploy troops to #Ukraine should be kept as on option to consider, #Polish Foreign Minister Radosław #Sikorski said on March 8. Speaking at the Polish parliament on the 25th anniversary of Poland's NATO membership, #Sikorski noted that the Korean War has set a precedent for an international coalition sending forces into the conflict following a United Nations Security Council resolution. “Remember, immediately after the [Russian] invasion [in 2022], at the United Nations General Assembly, over 140 countries out of 190 voted to denounce the aggression as unacceptable,” said Sikorski. “This is not merely a statement for the press; it establishes a certain legal basis.” The minister added that #Western troops in #Ukraine could aid in halting Russian aggression rather than cause an escalation. “That's why I value the recent French initiative,” he said. “In my opinion, it has a noble intent—to make the Russian president [Vladimir Putin] question what our next move might be, instead of him being certain that we won't do anything creative, allowing him to plan his next moves.” After a conference in support of Ukraine held in Paris on Feb. 26, Macron said that Ukraine's Western allies would form a coalition to provide the Ukrainian armed forces with long-range weapons, and that sending Western troops to Ukraine in the future is not off the table. In response to Macron's statements, several NATO countries publicly rejected the idea of sending troops to Ukraine, including Poland, the United States, #Germany, #Czechia, #Canada, and the United Kingdom. #Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas and #Lithuanian Defense Minister Anušauskas Arvydas did not reject the possibility of sending troops but clarified that they will send them only for training missions. General Onno Eichelsheim, Chief of the General Staff of the Dutch Army, said that "all options should be left open." https://lnkd.in/d8xQgqgB

❌ Why the NATO-Russia Founding Act is still relevant? NATO defense ministers meeting next week will begin to rethink the alliance's decades-old policy on Russia relations in reaction to the threat posed by the Kremlin. NATO-Russia relations hit rock bottom following Moscow's 2022 full-fledged invasion of Ukraine. In response, NATO labeled Russia as the "most significant and direct threat to Allies’ security," while the Kremlin claims what it calls NATO's eastward expansion is an existential danger. However, despite the change in tone, NATO still keeps the "Founding Act" with Russia alive. It's a document signed in 1997, six years after the Soviet Union's collapse, stipulating a shared goal to "build a stable, peaceful and undivided Europe." NATO countries are now in the process of trying to "map out different elements of [the Russia] strategy and advance the debates inside the alliance that takes us to subjects like the future of the NATO-Russia Founding Act," a senior U.S. government official told reporters on Friday. While lower-level official discussions have been going on for months, next week's NATO defense ministerial meeting will be the first of a few rounds of minister-level discussions on this topic. During the July NATO summit in Washington, the allies agreed to draw up a new NATO-Russia strategy at the next alliance summit, set for The Hague in June 2025. Differences arise as to how far NATO should go to create a new set of rules when it comes to Russia. A NATO diplomat said there is worry among some members that a very aggressive new strategy could send a "signal" that could destabilize Russia. I think this reflection is too long, while Kremlin already has “one boot” in Eastern Europe …

Pressure mounts on Ukraine as Western allies dangle NATO entry for territorial concessions The office of Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky is discussing the possibility of dismissing three key figures in the country’s military leadership, according to local media. Defense Minister Rustem Umerov, Head of the Main Intelligence Directorate Kirill Budanov, and Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces Aleksandr Syrsky, could all lose their posts, Izvestia writes. According to the newspaper, the main reason for the potential reshuffle is growing dissatisfaction within the country’s leadership about the situation on the front lines. Meanwhile, Kiev’s Western allies are looking at this with exasperation, and are opening up to the idea of sacrificing territories to put a quick end to the conflict. The office of Ukrainian President is preparing personnel changes, Forbes-Ukraine reported citing sources. The publication’s sources reported that those inside the Ukrainian government are unhappy with Defense Minister Rustem Umerov because of the "chaos" that has accompanied his appointment to the ministry, as well as confusion in government procurement, which has led to broken military contracts. Meanwhile, Ukraine’s Western allies, seeing the disappointing situation on the battlefield, are increasing pressure on Ukraine. In particular, as the Financial Times reported, citing sources, they are looking for ways to expedite the end of hostilities, and have begun discussions on a "territory for NATO membership" plan. Military expert and political scientist Vadim Mingalev believes that Ukraine will never become a member of NATO because the North Atlantic bloc "is using it as a means to weaken Russia." "If Ukraine is officially accepted into NATO, then Article 5 will come into force and, accordingly, NATO countries will have to fight for Ukraine. And they do not need this," the expert told Izvestia. Director of the Institute of International Political and Economic Strategies RUSSTRAT Elena Panina believes that "the West is trying to adapt to the realities on the battlefield against the background of the tactical successes of the Russian Armed Forces in Donbass." The expert is adamant that Russia will never agree to Kiev’s membership in the alliance. "One of the main reasons the special military operation started was Ukraine’s potential entry to NATO. Vladimir Putin reiterated this position on June 14 in his proposals for the final settlement of the conflict in Ukraine during his speech to the leadership of the Russian Foreign Ministry. It’s also clear that Russia has no interest in freezing the conflict, as this would be a prerequisite for Ukraine joining NATO," the analyst concluded. #business #finance #financialservices

Will war start with the U.S.??? Yesterday, the Kremlin warned if Western troops are sent to Ukraine, the move could lead to a direct conflict between NATO and Russia. The warning came in response to French President Emmanuel Macron, who indicated on Monday that Western soldiers could bolster Ukraine's defenses in the 2-year-old war. "Nothing should be excluded," the French leader said during a news conference in Paris about putting Western boots on the ground in Ukraine. "We will do anything we can to prevent Russia from winning this war." Kyiv's Western allies have not committed troops to the war. Doing so would constitute the crossing of a red line that's been stated by Russia as provocation for escalating the conflict. Speaking to the press on Tuesday, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said Western troops becoming involved in the war would result in the "inevitability" of a direct confrontation.  "In that case, it's not going to be about probability, but inevitability—that's how we assess it," Peskov said when asked about the probability of a direct conflict between NATO and Russia if Western troops are sent to Ukraine, according to the Kremlin-controlled outlet Tass. Peskov added NATO countries "should also assess" the consequences of taking such action. Kyiv's Western allies should "ask themselves whether this corresponds to their interests, and most importantly, to the interests of the citizens of their countries," he said, per Tass. What will happen for the United States (which is in NATO) is another question. More ahead... on SNN and here on LinkedIn. #russia #nato #war #ukrainerussiawar #usa #militarytransition

Yesterday, Newsweek reported the Kremlin warned if Western troops are sent to Ukraine, the move could lead to a direct conflict between NATO and Russia. The warning came in response to French President Emmanuel Macron, who indicated on Monday that Western soldiers could bolster Ukraine's defenses in the 2-year-old war. "Nothing should be excluded," the French leader said during a news conference in Paris about putting Western boots on the ground in Ukraine. "We will do anything we can to prevent Russia from winning this war." Kyiv's Western allies have not committed troops to the war. Doing so would constitute the crossing of a red line that's been stated by Russia as provocation for escalating the conflict. Speaking to the press on Tuesday, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said Western troops becoming involved in the war would result in the "inevitability" of a direct confrontation.  "In that case, it's not going to be about probability, but inevitability—that's how we assess it," Peskov said when asked about the probability of a direct conflict between NATO and Russia if Western troops are sent to Ukraine, according to the Kremlin-controlled outlet Tass. Peskov added NATO countries "should also assess" the consequences of taking such action. Kyiv's Western allies should "ask themselves whether this corresponds to their interests, and most importantly, to the interests of the citizens of their countries," he said, per Tass. What will happen for the United States (which is in NATO) is another question. More ahead... on SNN and here on LinkedIn. #russia #nato #war #ukrainerussiawar #usa #militarytransition

In the article "A Better Path for Ukraine and NATO," M. E. Sarotte outlines a strategic approach for Ukraine to join NATO amid its ongoing conflict with Russia. The proposal suggests Ukraine should adopt a provisional strategy similar to West Germany’s during the Cold War, where it tolerated a temporary division without recognizing it as permanent. This would entail defining a defensible border and agreeing to self-limitations on military infrastructure to assure NATO allies that Ukraine won’t drag them into war with Russia. The article highlights five key challenges to this plan. Firstly, all NATO allies, including the U.S. Senate, must approve Ukrainian accession, which is a significant hurdle. Secondly, Russia would strongly oppose Ukraine’s NATO membership, but could frame it as a victory by calling for Ukraine’s partition. Thirdly, any negotiations with Russia would be difficult since Putin is unlikely to settle given his belief that time is on his side. Fourthly, Ukraine’s President Zelensky might face domestic backlash, but he could mitigate this by blaming the West. The proposal argues that NATO membership for most of Ukraine would offer a pathway to stability, security, and economic recovery, similar to West Germany's post-NATO accession. It emphasizes the urgency of securing Ukraine's future amidst dwindling Western support and the potential re-election of Donald Trump, which could jeopardize ongoing assistance. https://lnkd.in/gkwvdx9f The author, however, doesn’t mention the case of Austria and the argument for neutrality. This omission seems deliberate, given that the author likely knows the featured case studies are not the only post-World War II examples of successful neutrality. As I have argued elsewhere, perhaps Ukraine’s survival hinges on its ability to convince both the East and the West that, like Austria, Norway, Ireland, and others, it can accept EU membership without the deadly consequences of NATO entanglements. #UkraineNATO #NATOMembership #SecurityStrategy

In the article "A Better Path for Ukraine and NATO," M. E. Sarotte outlines a strategic approach for Ukraine to join NATO amid its ongoing conflict with Russia. The proposal suggests Ukraine should adopt a provisional strategy similar to West Germany’s during the Cold War, where it tolerated a temporary division without recognizing it as permanent. This would entail defining a defensible border and agreeing to self-limitations on military infrastructure to assure NATO allies that Ukraine won’t drag them into war with Russia. The article highlights five key challenges to this plan. Firstly, all NATO allies, including the U.S. Senate, must approve Ukrainian accession, which is a significant hurdle. Secondly, Russia would strongly oppose Ukraine’s NATO membership, but could frame it as a victory by calling for Ukraine’s partition. Thirdly, any negotiations with Russia would be difficult since Putin is unlikely to settle given his belief that time is on his side. Fourthly, Ukraine’s President Zelensky might face domestic backlash, but he could mitigate this by blaming the West. The proposal argues that NATO membership for most of Ukraine would offer a pathway to stability, security, and economic recovery, similar to West Germany's post-NATO accession. It emphasizes the urgency of securing Ukraine's future amidst dwindling Western support and the potential re-election of Donald Trump, which could jeopardize ongoing assistance. https://lnkd.in/gkwvdx9f The author, however, doesn’t mention the case of Austria and the argument for neutrality. This omission seems deliberate, given that the author likely knows the featured case studies are not the only post-World War II examples of successful neutrality. As I have argued elsewhere, perhaps Ukraine’s survival hinges on its ability to convince both the East and the West that, like Austria, Norway, Ireland, and others, it can accept EU membership without the deadly consequences of NATO entanglements. #UkraineNATO #NATOMembership #SecurityStrategy

In the article "A Better Path for Ukraine and NATO," M. E. Sarotte outlines a strategic approach for Ukraine to join NATO amid its ongoing conflict with Russia. The proposal suggests Ukraine should adopt a provisional strategy similar to West Germany’s during the Cold War, where it tolerated a temporary division without recognizing it as permanent. This would entail defining a defensible border and agreeing to self-limitations on military infrastructure to assure NATO allies that Ukraine won’t drag them into war with Russia. The article highlights five key challenges to this plan. Firstly, all NATO allies, including the U.S. Senate, must approve Ukrainian accession, which is a significant hurdle. Secondly, Russia would strongly oppose Ukraine’s NATO membership, but could frame it as a victory by calling for Ukraine’s partition. Thirdly, any negotiations with Russia would be difficult since Putin is unlikely to settle given his belief that time is on his side. Fourthly, Ukraine’s President Zelensky might face domestic backlash, but he could mitigate this by blaming the West. The proposal argues that NATO membership for most of Ukraine would offer a pathway to stability, security, and economic recovery, similar to West Germany's post-NATO accession. It emphasizes the urgency of securing Ukraine's future amidst dwindling Western support and the potential re-election of Donald Trump, which could jeopardize ongoing assistance. https://lnkd.in/gkwvdx9f The author, however, doesn’t mention the case of Austria and the argument for neutrality. This omission seems deliberate, given that the author likely knows the featured case studies are not the only post-World War II examples of successful neutrality. As I have argued elsewhere, perhaps Ukraine’s survival hinges on its ability to convince both the East and the West that, like Austria, Norway, Ireland, and others, it can accept EU membership without the deadly consequences of NATO entanglements. #UkraineNATO #NATOMembership #SecurityStrategy