The American Presidency of Joe Biden: What Should be Expected?

He has served as a Vice-President to a much a younger President, Barack Obama, who was one of the youngest US Presidents ever elected (the 5th youngest ever to be precise), apart from being the first Non-White President. Now, he himself is returning to the White House as the oldest President his country has ever elected, with a Vice-President, who will be the first Non-White Woman in that role. Like Obama, he is from a legal background and he is a veteran Senator. A democrat to the core. He is, Joe Biden.

India

Of all the American friends and allies, India will probably be the happiest, with the biggest gains to look forward to, from a US under Biden's administration, and it has nothing to do with Vice-President Harris' ancestral roots and connections.

Much to the annoyance, displeasure, dismay and pain of the orchestrators of the "Fascist BJP" and "Fascist Modi" rhetoric around the world, Prime Minister Narendra Modi will probably be seeing the same sort of a friend in President Biden, as he did once, in President Obama. And that will work great not just for himself as a counterpart, or his ruling party, but also for his country.

One should expect to see US-India relations during the Biden Presidency to be as such, influencing the overall West-India relations to be as such, that the "Make in India" initiative will most likely see its biggest boost that had ever been possible from its very conception, to accelerate, catalyze and escalate the migration of production for Western enterprises from China to India.

Away from civilian trade and economics, the world is likely to witness the sort of Biden-Modi friendship that will see unprecedented deals, pacts, collaborations and partnerships between US and India on the defense and military fronts, leading to domino effects, where India will enjoy more such unprecedented evolution of defense ties manifest with much of the rest of the West, including Russia.

Minority Rights

Again, with Vice-President Harris being no factor, nor Barack Obama, the Black Lives Matter movement is likely to be quite visible through his Presidency, as a pet movement and cause of President Joe Biden's. The US, domestically, apart from issues of the Black community, is likely going to see far more ethnic issues addressed for all minorities, cumulatively, than had probably been imagineable even during the time of the Obama Presidency. And that is just on the domestic front.

On the Foreign Relations front, there are likely to be increasing unprecedented yet concerted behind-the-curtain approaches coming of the US, as months of the Biden Presidency go by, encouraging countries, particularly in Asia, very much with the President's very silent blessings, to help alleviate oppressed minorities.

Terrorism

Obama took out Osama. A fair statement to make. One should be counting on Biden wanting to take out what remains.

2020, has been an incubation year for terrorism, as governments have been tied down with battling Covid-19. With much of the world's population confined to homes for much of the year, there has been a captive audience, and an easy route into minds for the nefarious.

President Biden probably loves peace, but he is probably no Gandhian. While he is President, it is unlikely that terrorists around the world should expect a repeat of Abbottabad. Rather, they should expect much worse. They should expect to be terrorized like never before, by the US and other Western governments, until the end of the Biden Presidency.

President George W. Bush first articulated "War on Terror". Expect President Biden to seek a conclusion to that war, after more than two decades, within his first term of Presidency. He may just prove himself to be the world leader, who gets to claim credit for that final victory. This despite a massive scale down of US troop presence on foreign soil, that should be expected within just the very first year of his Presidency.

Expect anti-terrorism methods and measures though, that are unprecedented, unparalleled, unorthodox and unconventional, aplenty. We will be losing count.

Trade and Economics

The first thing that President Trump did upon being sworn in, was to tear up the Trans-Pacific Partnership. President Biden, is likely to be seen promoting international trade pacts, treaties and agreements, more actively, than any other Chief Executive of State before him, anywhere.

On the domestic front, he is probably going to encourage Millennial and iGen entrepreneurship to extents that will pleasantly surprise both the generations. Yet, it won't be simply that, well, simplistic.

What the world should brace for, is a President Biden pushing for emergence and growth of sustainable enterprises at home. At the same time, he is likely to encourage entrepreneurial thought away from the prevailing conversations around new technologies, drawing focus rather on what matters to existence. Think, FOOD.

Out of all the industries, domestically in the US, Agriculture should be expected to be the biggest winner, to gain from each day of Mr Joe Biden's Presidency.

Climate Change

No one anywhere should be surprised at all, should the White House begin to resemble a headquarter of an environmental activist group during the Biden Presidency. At 77, he refreshingly is known to take climate change, and its possible consequences, very seriously. And he is also no old wise man who likes lamenting, sitting under a tree.

The world should expect a near daily dose of green aggression, with global implications, with the driving wheel tightly within the grip of President Biden

North Korea

What Donald Trump did, was bring North Korea, and its leaders, into a global media spotlight. During the Biden Presidency, it is almost certain, that in most countries, North Korea, or any citizen of it, will hardly ever make any news headline, even where tabloids are concerned.

China

US-China ties are not likely to improve with President Joe Biden in the White House. It is likely, that President Biden will try very hard to win over and befriend the Chinese leadership. There will be tangibly evident efforts from the incoming President to sincerely improve the ties. And China will probably reciprocate those attempts and efforts, rather quite very sincerely as well. The obstacles to those attempts and efforts being fruitful however, are aplenty. 5G is one of them. It is unlikely, that even two Biden terms will suffice in resolving the differences that do stand between the two giants.

Middle East

By the end of President Biden's first term in office, expect US-Middle East ties to be better than they have ever been. Especially where Trade and Economic ties are concerned. When Joe Biden's time is up in the White House, most of his Middle Eastern counterparts are likely to miss him, very fondly.

Harish Shah is Singapore's first local born Professional Futurist and a Management Strategy Consultant. He runs Stratserv Consultancy. His areas of consulting and Keynote Topics include EmTech, Industry 4.0, HR, Digital Transformation, Product Development, X Reality, Marketing, Strategic Foresight, Systems Thinking and Organisational Future Proofing. In an Open Letter in 2019, Harish has called on fellow Futurists around the world to emphasize in their course of work, on the need for Environmental Salvation.