"VLADIMIR'S WAR", The Invasion of Ukraine, and a New and Confusing Cold War.

The Warning

During the days leading up to Vladimir's aggression against Ukraine, threatening not only Europe, but the entire globe with his egotistical rage, Vladimir issued a warning: I am going to take this conflict to Venezuela and Cuba, and I will generate a crisis worse than the Missile Crisis (The Cuban Missile Crisis, also known as the October Crisis of 1962). Vladimir does not lie or exaggerate. At least in the case of Venezuela, Russia has displaced weapons and other military equipment for several years now. Together with them, the Iranians, hand in hand with Vladimir's military, have been taking the Venezuelan territory, kindly ceded by a genocidal and narco-terrorist, Nicolás Maduro, to eventually be used as a center of attack against the United States of America. , and of all that Latin American country that presumes sympathy for the "gringos". A few days after Vladimir issued his warning, the president of Colombia, Iván Duque, called the Russian ambassador in Colombia, and he assured him that the Russian weapons in Venezuela would not be used to attack Colombia. During the last two years, flights of Russian military aircraft have been registered in Colombian territory, generating tension between Colombia and Russia. From Venezuela, Russian aircraft fly to Nicaragua, where Russia has a sophisticated electronic intelligence facility.

"Vladimir's War", The Invasion 

The brutal invasion of Vladimir Putin in Ukraine, despite having predictable elements in terms of his strategic plans, that is, advancing to the center of the country, reaching close to the capital of Ukraine, with a threat of a brutal advance from a powerful component military stationed a few kilometers from Kyiv, maintaining constant attacks on the main cities, generating an undetermined number of deaths of the civilian population, and of absolute destruction, capturing the main nuclear plant in Europe, and generating a state of panic not only in Europe, but on a global level, to the condition with a clear triumphant perception that it would stop the invasion, if Zelenskyy, the new hero of the free nations of the world, recognizes the accession of Crimea to Russia, or if not, he will assume control of the capital of the country. Vladimir found in the Pandemic a moment of fragility and divisions in the world, and projecting rapid and forceful action and perhaps with the opportunity to not only control Crimea, but the whole of Ukraine, showing his teeth to the other border countries that are not still part of the European Union. By the way, Vladimir did not count that the Armed Forces of Ukraine and its people would be worth more than his military forces.

The New Geopolitics. When the Economy is Worth more than Global Security.

“Vladimir's War” has and will have many interpretations and analyses; many scenarios of how it will end, including 1. A short war, i.e. Vladimir gets half of Ukraine, or else Crimea; 2. An escalation of military actions by Vladimir's army against Europe, which would involve a frontal response from NATO and other allied countries with a long-term war and countless loss of life; or in the worst-case scenario, a nuclear conflagration with results not projected. In any case, and given the first two scenarios, "Vladimir's War" is already generating adhesions, low-profile support, and other geopolitical and diplomatic insecurities of some States that React, apparently, in a weak way, as if they were navigating territory not known. India, Brazil, Argentina were some of the countries that abstained or voted against any sanction against Vladimir. Due to previous economic commitments, they say in a low voice.

Vladimir knows that his enemies are also in Moscow. There are many people, nervous, and very upset within the military, intelligence, and economic sectors, with "Vladimir's War". “It has gone too far, too far” I imagine the rumors between vodka and cigarettes”. And it is that Vladimir is not only bankrupting his country economically, but the implications of the people of Russia are yet to be seen. The Russians in the streets are losing their fear of Vladimir and shouting that this is not a Russian War, but a whim that was generated during the occupation of Berlin, when Vladimir was a young intelligence executioner. Vladimir must be careful even of his people. In any case, the Russians know that this is "Vladimir's War."

Depending on how Vladimir moves his pieces, and how NATO and its allies respond, having the United States of America, Canada, Japan, and other allied military muscles, some countries that have so far shown a "comfortable" and "pro -Vladimir”, because they consider that the COVID-19 Pandemic and the expressions of protests in the world calling for an “evolution” of the systems of governance and political leadership have weakened the institutions of governments and multilateral discussions have weakened the European Union and the United States of America have their internal crises generated by the absence of a firm path towards strengthening that world power and preventing populism and the left from continuing to torpedo the government and the nation, then a new hypocritical re-arrangement of some of these soft nations towards the side that obtains either military and/or diplomatic victory.

USA, Oil, Venezuela, Russia, Iran, and China: A Confusing and Discouraging Scenario.

After 10 days of the "Vladimir War", there has been a direct impact on fuel prices worldwide, with an effect on the economy yet to be felt. What concerns me in this particular is that the administration of President Biden has sent a delegation of officials to Venezuela to seek a safe supply of fuel to the United States of America. According to the first reports from the White House, this supply is being discussed and also the release of some American citizens who work for an oil company, imprisoned by the regime.

It is to be considered that the regime requested the United States of America to lift sanctions against the regime, and other benefits that will strengthen a regime that has become a serious threat not only to the security of the United States of America but to the entire hemisphere.

Nicolás Maduro is not an intelligent man. It is a puppet of Russia, Iran, Cuba, and China. These countries are the ones who decide what Maduro does and decides, and in these countries, in addition to many others, hundreds of billions of dollars, gold, and the uncontrollable exploitation of strategic minerals stolen from the nation are “stored”. It is "The Legend of El Dorado" come true for these "birds of prey" protected by the complex corruption that prevails in Venezuela, and that the Chavista-Madurista revolution feeds and protects with suspicion as an effective tool to keep them in the power they usurp.

Venezuela is a country that apparently, and according to the actions of the international community, few know. It is a reflection of the worst that can be thought of as a corrupt country.

Maduro is not only encouraged, but is a partner of terrorist groups, drug traffickers, and transnational criminals who have the safest ally in that country. Hezbollah, the FARC, ELN, the Quds, extreme left groups, and in short, how much "terrorist and corrupt garbage" exists on the planet, has a place in Venezuela.

Iran has not only established medium-range missile launch platforms in Venezuela, together with Russia, but also, and as many intelligence reports from different countries indicate, "dirty and radioactive bombs" are being prepared by the Iranians. Venezuela has important uranium deposits.

While Nicolás is requested by the American justice on charges of drug trafficking, money laundering, along with many others of his officials and government leaders; and with a considerable number of military and intelligence deserters, who are in the United States of America providing valuable information on the narco-terrorist and corrupt activities of Maduro, in exchange for protection; Right now, a US delegation is in Venezuela negotiating with America's worst enemy on that continent. Venezuelans have lost all hope of justice and freedom.

Meanwhile, Maduro and his corrupt gang have just called for a dialogue between Russia and Ukraine, when even before the arrival of the Americans in Venezuelan territory, Maduro, along with his sheep, shouted that they would send troops to support Vladimir in his war against Ukraine and the “Capitalists Enemies of Peace”.

While Vladimir murders the Ukrainian people, threatens Europe and the world, and has military weapons in Venezuela with obvious objectives, the people of Venezuela are drowning in the despair of freedom, between a regime that murders them, a corrupt and mediocre interim government, and counting on the champion of freedom in the world, the United States of America, today sitting with the one who murders them.

Indeed times of uncertainty and confusion.

Johan Obdola

Berlin, 08 March 2022