Why #Trump won and why his leadership is not a threat to Europe

Donald Trump's political ascent in 2016, and his continued influence, can be understood as part of a broader movement—a realignment of Western politics that was less about traditional party ideology and more about connecting with citizens frustrated by decades of globalized policies that seemed to leave them behind. In the face of widespread predictions and seemingly insurmountable odds, Trump’s victory was a product of both timing and a clear, resonant message of national pride, economic sovereignty, and strong borders. His leadership, now positioned for a potential return, represents not a threat to Europe but an opportunity for a renewed, balanced partnership. Here’s why:

1. Domestic reasons for Trump’s victory

Trump’s recent success is fueled by several distinct factors in America’s domestic landscape. Notably, the support of influential voices like Elon Musk amplified his reach across conservative and independent bases, especially among tech-savvy voters disillusioned by Big Tech’s prior censorship efforts. Musk’s ownership of Twitter (now X) gave Trump’s message an unfiltered platform, allowing him to rally support without interference.

In addition, the backlash against what many perceived as excessive Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) initiatives, as well as "woke" culture on college campuses, became a defining issue. A growing number of Americans felt that these initiatives prioritized ideological conformity over true diversity of thought, alienating moderate voters who saw DEI programs as divisive rather than unifying. This, combined with rising concerns about freedom of speech, academic rigor, and fair treatment on campuses, became a rallying point for Trump’s supporters, who advocated for a return to core educational values and intellectual freedom.

The migration crisis also played a pivotal role in mobilizing Trump’s base. With migration seemingly out of control and placing strains on communities, social services, and resources, the demand for strong, decisive action on border security grew louder. Trump’s team at the America First Policy Institute is already equipped with specific policies and experienced personnel who are prepared to address these challenges, signaling a readiness for immediate implementation of effective border policies.

Finally, Trump demonstrated unparalleled organizational strength within the Republican Party. His campaign capitalized on early registration drives, absentee ballots, and vigilant monitoring efforts to ensure high voter turnout among his base. Through sophisticated grassroots mobilization, Trump was able to energize his supporters and drive a high turnout rate, leveraging early voting and registration checks to maximize participation. This groundwork created a powerful coalition ready to challenge the status quo and secure his victory.

2. Trump’s victory: a response to globalization fatigue

Trump's 2016 victory was not a fluke; it was a response to a profound shift in Western political consciousness. After decades of globalization, outsourcing, and interventions abroad, a large portion of the American public felt ignored by the political elite. Trump gave a voice to those concerns, calling for an "America First" approach that emphasized protecting American workers, revitalizing domestic industries, and focusing on internal economic prosperity rather than extended foreign engagements. This rhetoric struck a chord in the U.S. and resonated with similar sentiments across Europe.

Europe, too, has experienced its own waves of discontent with centralized EU policies and the challenges of mass migration, cultural shifts, and the loss of economic autonomy. Trump’s victory signaled to Europe that a new type of leadership was possible—one focused on national interests and pragmatic partnerships rather than rigid ideological alignments.

3. Shared interests over subjugation

One key misconception is that Trump’s leadership style is domineering, aiming to subjugate allies to American interests. In reality, his "America First" approach advocates for strong partnerships rooted in mutual respect and practical alignment. Trump’s administration supported a NATO that could stand strong without overreliance on American support, urging Europe to invest in its own defense. This push wasn’t a withdrawal from European concerns but rather a call for a more self-reliant Europe—a Europe that could, if it chose, exert more autonomy in its defense policies and economic resilience.

For Europe, this approach provides a chance to grow its own strategic capabilities while maintaining a strong alliance with the U.S. Trump’s vision, if anything, encourages a balanced partnership rather than dependency.

4. European sovereignty and economic resilience

Trump’s focus on economic sovereignty is not at odds with Europe’s interests—in fact, it aligns closely with the goals of many European nations that seek to regain control over their industries, markets, and policies. For Italy, France, Poland, and other countries increasingly skeptical of one-size-fits-all EU policies, Trump’s ideas on national sovereignty serve as a model for protecting their own economies.

Under Trump’s potential leadership, there is room for Europe to work alongside the U.S. in building resilient supply chains, promoting fair trade, and avoiding the pitfalls of overreliance on non-Western powers. His administration’s emphasis on fair, reciprocal trade deals means Europe can negotiate as a partner, securing mutually beneficial agreements that support both American and European interests.

5. A balanced foreign policy: less intervention, more diplomacy

Trump’s foreign policy in his first term was defined by strategic pragmatism. Rather than entangling the U.S. in new conflicts, he focused on rebalancing existing relationships, pursuing diplomatic solutions, and avoiding prolonged interventions. His approach with NATO encouraged European nations to take greater responsibility for their own security, reducing the burden on American resources without compromising the strength of the alliance.

For Europe, this shift meant more agency in shaping its own security policies and a chance to enhance its strategic autonomy. Under Trump, Europe would not be dragged into unilateral conflicts; instead, the continent would stand alongside a U.S. focused on stability through strength rather than extended warfare. This approach not only strengthens NATO but also allows European nations to craft foreign policies that serve their own regional interests.

Furthermore, Trump’s team is prepared to counter China’s global ambitions with renewed vigor, setting a foundation for Europe and the U.S. to collaborate closely on shared goals, from ensuring fair trade practices to enhancing technology security. Supporting Ukraine’s goals remains a priority as well, reinforcing a commitment to European stability.

6. A chance for national identity and cultural renewal

Trump’s brand of leadership is centered on pride in one’s nation and heritage—a perspective increasingly shared by leaders in Europe, including Italy’s Giorgia Meloni, who have embraced similar calls for cultural and national identity. Trump’s emphasis on national pride serves as a counterbalance to the homogenizing effects of globalization, encouraging countries to preserve their own cultural distinctiveness while participating in a cooperative international community.

For Europe, which has wrestled with challenges to its cultural identity and social cohesion, this perspective is not a threat but an affirmation of the continent’s rich, diverse traditions. Trump’s approach supports a Europe where nations are empowered to maintain their unique heritages while engaging in partnerships that respect these differences.

7. Strengthening the transatlantic partnership with realism

A strong transatlantic partnership, rooted in realism and respect, is possible with Trump at the helm. Leaders like Meloni in Italy, who understand the importance of national sovereignty and strong alliances, have an opportunity to engage in a relationship with the U.S. that is constructive and based on shared values. Rather than seeing Trump’s return as a divisive factor, Europe can view it as a moment to reinforce ties on its own terms.

For Italy, this partnership could mean economic collaboration, coordinated security efforts, and a joint stance on issues that impact both sides of the Atlantic, from migration and trade to technological advancements and infrastructure. Trump’s leadership offers Europe an opportunity to grow stronger, standing as a trusted ally without fear of subjugation.

A new era of partnership

Donald Trump’s return to leadership would not mean a threat to Europe; instead, it signals an era where both the U.S. and Europe can grow into mature, sovereign partners. With leaders like Meloni, who understand the importance of national pride and pragmatic alliances, Europe is well-positioned to benefit from this relationship. Trump’s vision is one of strength through partnership, where each nation retains its independence, dignity, and culture.

For allies like Italy, there is no need to fear Trump’s leadership. Rather, it’s an opportunity to deepen a partnership that respects Europe’s autonomy, bolsters its security, and celebrates its unique identity. Together, the U.S. and Europe can create a resilient, sovereign alliance that champions a new future for the West.