مبادرة إمال للمناخ والتنمية

"Le premier groupe de réflexion climatique indépendant à but non lucratif en Afrique du Nord a été lancé lors de la COP27 tenue à Charm el-Cheikh, en Égypte. Dénommé l'Initiative Imal pour le Climat et le Développement et basé à Rabat, ce think tank a reçu un financement de démarrage de l’une des fondations philanthropiques de la famille Rockefeller. L’équipe fondatrice rassemble d’anciens responsables de la présidence marocaine de la COP22 et d’autres Marocains travaillant à l’international dans la coopération et le plaidoyer pour le climat." #cop27 #afrique #africa https://lnkd.in/eCuVVuJ5

Statement on the outcome of #COP29 and the new finance goal (#NCQG) by IMAL's Iskander Erzini Vernoit, published in African Arguments alongside comments from other Africans engaged in the discussions: "Baku was a betrayal of the world’s vulnerable, of the Paris Agreement, and of common sense. The COP29 decision on the new finance goal represents a staggering lack of imagination and solidarity from the Global North. "$300 billion per year as a mobilisation goal for 2035 would be a laughable joke, except it is deadly serious. People will lose their lives as a result of the unwillingness to take tough political decisions at COP29. According to some analyses, developing countries easily require over $1 trillion per year in grant-equivalent terms to equitably address adaptation and loss and damage alone, not counting mitigation and energy transition. This $300 billion, like the $100 billion goal it replaces, will likely be largely non-concessional loans. Meanwhile, the North’s subsidies for wars and fossil fuels amount to trillions per year. "This decision jeopardises the delivery of the aims of the Paris Agreement and UN Framework Convention, throwing national climate target-setting and delivery into deep uncertainty. "Amid rushed non-transparent processes, developed countries weaponised the fears of developing countries, who felt held hostage to the need to agree something before the Trump administration takes office. However, it didn’t have to be this way. The short-sighted inability to challenge the Global North’s un-ambition will likely be regretted, as will the COP Presidencies Troika’s insistence on closing any deal regardless of its contents. "Nevertheless, the fight against catastrophic climate change must move forward, in greater solidarity with those threatened, to become more clear-eyed about the problems and solutions, more unified and more politically assertive than before." 🔗 https://lnkd.in/eMdhdcum

📝🌍 New peer-reviewed article in Nature: "Quantifying international public finance provision needs for the new UN climate finance goal" co-authored by IMAL's Iskander Erzini Vernoit. Only days remain at #COP29 in Baku to agree a New Collective Quantified Goal (#NCQG) on #climatefinance. This new article reviews the literature assessing developing country needs in international climate finance provision and acknowledges different political assumptions which may lead to widely divergent conclusions. The article concludes that developing countries may very credibly be said to face international provision needs of at least $1.0-1.5 trillion USD per year in grant-equivalent terms to equitably deliver aims across mitigation for 1.5C, adaptation consistent with NDCs/NAPs, and responding to current levels of economic loss and damage. The authors derive these constituent thematic figures, each alone in the hundreds of billions of USD, from a range of analyses, including the IEA NZR, UNEP AGR, and others, seeking to apply equity-based assumptions where possible. The article critiques, from an equity and justice standpoint, mainstream analyses which have assumed that developing countries would foot a greater share of the costs than developed countries, or that areas like adaptation and resilience would be financed mostly via debt or non-grant finance in a context of widespread debt and development crises. The degree to which the NCQG decision responds to these needs will have far-reaching implications for the future of the international climate regime, and whether the world will meet the ambitious aims of the COP28 UAE Consensus, the Paris Agreement, and the UNFCCC, and how committed developed countries are to supporting these aims. 🔗 Link: https://lnkd.in/e_6pmqXd

#COP29 commences today in Baku and the Imal Initiative for Climate and Development is on the ground, working with civil society as well as governments, particularly from Africa and the Arab region, toward outcomes that strengthen climate action. The #TrillionReasonsFromAfrica campaign from Climate Action Network (CAN) Africa (see video below) serves to illustrate the many reasons why COP29 must decide an ambitious needs-based New Collective Quantified Goal (#NCQG) on #climatefinance in the trillions, amplifying African perspectives in particular. Here are 4 reasons why this decision is crucial, drawing on four of IMAL's past publications this year ⬇️ 🏜️⛈️ #LossandDamage: For communities suffering on the frontlines of climate impacts, having an NCQG which commits grant-based loss and damage finance at scale will be essential for justice, saving lives and livelihoods. IMAL researcher Said Skounti, whose own family's nomadic tribal communities face existential challenges to their way of life, as a result of climate change in Morocco's southeast, writes about the importance of the NCQG here: https://lnkd.in/etryR985 🌱💧 #Adaptation: Developing countries have prepared many national adaptation plans and policies, but these would require $387 billion a year to achieve, according to UNEP. IMAL researcher Imane Saidi has written an article with Fatuma Hussein about how provision of finance under the NCQG is essential to achieving the Global Goal on Adaptation: https://lnkd.in/eavkq8uM ⚡🔌 #Mitigation and 1.5C . To prevent the death of the Paris Agreement aspiration of limiting global warming to 1.5C, developed countries must commit to an unprecedented surge in international public finance support. IMAL's Iskander Erzini Vernoit wrote this piece with Sindra Sharma and Alejandra Lopez, calling for pragmatism and courage in setting 1.5-aligned ambition on finance: https://lnkd.in/e6MeK-gE   🌐🤝 #Multilateralism and #Trust. Developed countries face a massive trust deficit following their failure to mobilize the promised $100bn per year in climate finance by 2020. In a report reviewing lessons learned from this experience, IMAL's Said Skounti and Iskander Erzini Vernoit draw conclusions for how the NCQG must advance burden-sharing, structural clarity, thematic breakdowns, grant-equivalent reporting and other measures to enhance transparency and accountability: https://lnkd.in/eGMgpGGn Representatives of IMAL are available on the ground in #Baku for press inquiries.

New article 📝 Imal Initiative for Climate and Development director and co-founder Iskander Erzini Vernoit has co-written an article with Bouzekri Razi, director at the Ministry of Energy Transition and Sustainable Development - Kingdom of Morocco, titled "The need to scale climate finance provision for a just transition: Morocco's perspective" The article appears in a special #COP publication by the Global Governance Program at Toronto, which also includes pieces by Prime Minister Modi of India and President Lula of Brazil, as well as by the persons leading UN Climate Change, UNDP, the International Monetary Fund and The World Bank, among others. The article hails #Morocco's recognized international leadership on climate change, under the long-term vision of His Majesty King Mohamed VI. It notes Morocco's most recent Nationally Determined Contribution (#NDC) from 2021 with its leading aspirations on emissions reductions, based notably on renewable energy. The authors recall that only part of these commitments are #unconditional, with the large part being #conditional upon international #climatefinance support, which is required despite Morocco's great efforts to also mobilize private finance. In many ways, Morocco's story reflects the larger story of climate action ambitions of the Global South, whose realization relies on enhanced international cooperation and funding. The authors conclude that #COP29 will therefore mark a turning point in the life of the #ParisAgreement: "The decision on a new finance goal at #Baku will therefore be a clear test of the world's commitment to the Paris Agreement." 🔗 The full publication, "Financing a Just Transition: Transforming Funding, Tackling Climate Change", as well as the article on Morocco, are available here: https://bit.ly/fjt24 #UNFCCC #climate #development #justtransition #COP29 #NCQG

New UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD) report released ahead of #COP29 calls for an ambitious New Collective Quantified Goal (#NCQG) on #ClimateFinance from developed countries, highlighting escalating needs in developing countries, also citing research by the Imal Initiative for Climate and Development, which additionally served as a reviewer. UNCTAD’s findings include the following key insights: 💰 Based on modelled projections using the United Nations Global Policy Model (UN GPM), developing countries require around $1.1 trillion for climate finance from 2025, rising to around $1.8 trillion by 2030, to deliver the #ParisAgreement goals.  👉 With developed countries assuming greater share of these expenditures, the NCQG #mobilization target for developed countries would be $0.89 trillion in 2025, reaching $1.46 trillion by the fifth year of implementation. 🌍 This would imply a #provision target of around 1.4 per cent of developed countries’ Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per year from 2025 until 2030 when the target should be reviewed, equivalent to around 2 per cent of developing countries’ GDP. 🤝 The need to commit to effort-sharing approaches based on GDP and GNI, to determine respective contributions from developed countries, with consideration of weighted adjustments based on historic emissions, in line with #CBDR-RC principles. ⚖️ The imperative to have substantial portion of new climate finance provision from developed countries to come in the form of #grants, particularly for adaptation and loss and damage, with minimum terms for debt instruments counting towards the NCQG such as interest rates, grace periods, maturity periods, service fees and climate-resilient clauses. 📄 Link to the full #UNCTAD report: https://lnkd.in/e6JWqgXc   #Climate #Development #report #finance #NCQG #PayUp #Baku

New #OpEd 🖋️ Achieving the Global Goal on Adaptation requires target for international provision of adaptation finance under NCQG In a new opinion piece, Imane Saidi, a Researcher at the Imal Initiative for Climate and Development, together with Fatuma Hussein, a Programme Manager at Kenya-based think-tank Power Shift Africa, argue that the new collective quantified goal (#NCQG) on #climatefinance must reflect ambitious #adaptation commitments by committing specific finance to support the achievement of the targets of the Global Goal on Adaptation (#GGA). They emphasize that siloed processes and half-measures won't suffice — without a clear, ambitious adaptation finance target within the NCQG, the GGA’s framework will remain a promise without substance, further eroding trust. 🔗 Read the full piece here: https://lnkd.in/eavkq8uM #COP29 #NAPs #NDCs #UNFCCC #PayUp

In the historic decision on the new #climatefinance goal at #COP29, developed countries must recall the spirit of Paris — to set an ambition for a historic surge in public finance provision consistent with 1.5°C, acknowledging that realizing this vision will require meaningful political constituencies to ensure delivery in the years to come. Down To Earth carries an opinion piece putting the Baku COP in context — co-authored by Iskander Erzini Vernoit from the North Africa-based climate think-tank IMAL, Alejandra Lopez from Latin America-based climate think-tank Transforma, and Sindra Sharma from the Pacific Islands Climate Action Network (PICAN), who have been following the NCQG talks. https://lnkd.in/e6MeK-gE #ParisAgreement #UNFCCC #NCQG #climatechange #PayUp

IMAL is #hiring for a full-time Senior Advisor, African-Mediterranean Diplomacy & Cooperation, ideally based in our offices in Rabat. Can you think of someone with the right profile? Applications are due 23:59 Moroccan time, on Thursday October 24th. Find out more and apply here ⬇️ https://lnkd.in/eHKh3PA4 #jobs #recruitment #climate #development #diplomacy #cooperation

New #OpEd 🖋️ Achieving the Global Goal on Adaptation requires target for international provision of adaptation finance under NCQG In a new opinion piece, Imane Saidi, a Researcher at the Imal Initiative for Climate and Development, together with Fatuma Hussein, a Programme Manager at Kenya-based think-tank Power Shift Africa, argue that the new collective quantified goal (#NCQG) on #climatefinance must reflect ambitious #adaptation commitments by committing specific finance to support the achievement of the targets of the Global Goal on Adaptation (#GGA). They emphasize that siloed processes and half-measures won't suffice — without a clear, ambitious adaptation finance target within the NCQG, the GGA’s framework will remain a promise without substance, further eroding trust. 🔗 Read the full piece here: https://lnkd.in/eavkq8uM #COP29 #NAPs #NDCs #UNFCCC #PayUp