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📢📢 Publication Alert!!! 📢📢 ECPS Report on 2024 European Parliament Elections under the Shadow of Rising Populism Editors: Gilles Ivaldi & Emilia Zankina In the early 21st century, #populism has surged to become a transformative force in European #politics, reshaping party #dynamics across the continent. With a sharp rise in electoral success, #populist parties—both on the far-left and far-right—are now at the forefront of debates on EU policies and national #sovereignty. The European Center for Populism Studies’ (ECPS) latest #report on the 2024 European Parliament elections offers a comprehensive look at how populist forces are influencing the political landscape of Europe. This election cycle has marked a significant shift: 60 populist parties across 26 #EU member states gained seats, compared to 40 parties in 22 countries in 2019. Overall, populists secured 263 of the 720 seats in the European Parliament, a clear signal of their growing appeal. While populist right-wing groups captured most of this success, left-wing and centrist populist parties have also strengthened their influence, though fragmented across various groups in the #EU Parliament. With populist parties on the rise, the report predicts an intensified #influence on #debates around migration, climate change, EU enlargement, and support for Ukraine. Each chapter of the report dives into the details of populist parties within specific EU countries, tracing their political evolution, voter base, and policy positions on pivotal issues, including #migration and #HumanRights . The ECPS report emphasizes the mainstreaming of populist #rhetoric, noting how their #messages on national sovereignty, cultural #identity, and #Euroscepticism resonate with citizens’ #concerns. This shift in European politics, illustrated through 26 country-specific #insights and public opinion data, offers a fresh #perspective on how populist parties continue to shape the European Union’s future. The ECPS report, spanning 431 pages, provides an in-depth #analysis that makes it essential reading for anyone seeking to understand the nuanced impact of populism across #Europe. Download the Report Here: https://lnkd.in/gaJ6TqNr

🇪🇺 Europe's political landscape is undergoing significant shifts: France: President Macron's dissolution of the Assemblée Nationale has plunged the nation into turmoil, with snap elections leading to governmental instability and the rise of extreme political factions. Romania: The constitutional court annulled the presidential election results amid allegations of Russian interference, reflecting the growing influence of far-right, pro-Russian sentiments. United Kingdom: Nigel Farage's Reform UK is gaining traction, potentially reshaping the political landscape by appealing to voter dissatisfaction with traditional parties. These developments underscore the fragility of political systems and the rise of populist movements across Europe. 🤔 Mad Genius Inquiry: If political chaos is the breeding ground for radical change, are we witnessing the dawn of a new European order or the unraveling of its democratic fabric? This post was generated by my custom-built personal agent, powered by LLMs and designed to operate my computer. If you're curious about how it works, feel free to ask!

“Populists have made ‘sovereignty’ a buzzword across much of the world – and Central Europe’s nationalist forces have enthusiastically taken up the concept.” The 2024 European Parliament elections is likely to see a major shift to the right in many countries, with populist radical right parties gaining votes and seats across the EU. „Domestic and Foreign Policy: ‘Sovereignty’ Makes a Comeback“ article discusses the resurgence of "sovereignty" in domestic and foreign policies among CEE. This trend has influenced political dynamics and policy-making in the region, while creating tensions within democratic and international frameworks. The BIRN Trends Report 2024 provides key insights into the socio-political, economic, and technological landscape, reflecting Reporting Democracy’s year-round efforts. This posting gives an insight into the report on the second of five key trends. ➡️ Swipe to learn more about the crucial signals to watch. Reporting Democracy, managed by the Balkan Investigative Reporting Network (BIRN) , promotes free speech, human rights, and democratic values in Southern and Eastern Europe and beyond. The programme is supported by ERSTE Foundation.

📢📢 Publication Alert!!! 📢📢 ECPS Report on 2024 European Parliament Elections under the Shadow of Rising Populism Editors: Gilles Ivaldi & Emilia Zankina In the early 21st century, #populism has surged to become a transformative force in European #politics, reshaping party #dynamics across the continent. With a sharp rise in electoral success, #populist parties—both on the far-left and far-right—are now at the forefront of debates on EU policies and national #sovereignty. The European Center for Populism Studies’ (ECPS) latest #report on the 2024 European Parliament elections offers a comprehensive look at how populist forces are influencing the political landscape of Europe. This election cycle has marked a significant shift: 60 populist parties across 26 #EU member states gained seats, compared to 40 parties in 22 countries in 2019. Overall, populists secured 263 of the 720 seats in the European Parliament, a clear signal of their growing appeal. While populist right-wing groups captured most of this success, left-wing and centrist populist parties have also strengthened their influence, though fragmented across various groups in the #EU Parliament. With populist parties on the rise, the report predicts an intensified #influence on #debates around migration, climate change, EU enlargement, and support for Ukraine. Each chapter of the report dives into the details of populist parties within specific EU countries, tracing their political evolution, voter base, and policy positions on pivotal issues, including #migration and #HumanRights . The ECPS report emphasizes the mainstreaming of populist #rhetoric, noting how their #messages on national sovereignty, cultural #identity, and #Euroscepticism resonate with citizens’ #concerns. This shift in European politics, illustrated through 26 country-specific #insights and public opinion data, offers a fresh #perspective on how populist parties continue to shape the European Union’s future. The ECPS report, spanning 431 pages, provides an in-depth #analysis that makes it essential reading for anyone seeking to understand the nuanced impact of populism across #Europe. Download the Report Here: https://lnkd.in/gSEkzzFX

2024-May-31 `This is a historic and pivotal year for democracy across the globe. Around 70 countries – from the United States to South Africa, via Mexico and Taiwan – will hold elections in 2024. After India’s huge and ongoing six-week ballot, however, the biggest election in terms of voter numbers will happen next week, when 373 million Europeans can go to the polls and elect 720 members of the next European Parliament. Once the votes have been tallied from across the 27-nation bloc, it is widely expected that the results will show a significant shift to the right, which could have major implications for the political direction of the European Union at a time when it is battling multiple crises, many of them global. From the war in Ukraine to coping with mass migration, the rise of China to the threat of climate change, it’s hard to see how a bloc of diverse countries could possibly speak with one voice. Of course, differences in opinion among the member states is nothing new. EU politics has always relied on awkward alliances between countries and political ideologies that represent vastly different electorates. The EU’s political center has undeniably moved to the right over the past two decades, however.`

As Europe navigated a turbulent political landscape in 2024, analysts believe the rise of far-right parties is challenging the traditional political framework and putting the “cordon sanitaire” – a strategy designed to keep them out of power – under unprecedented strain. Across Europe, there were instances of both outright far-right victories – Austria and Belgium – and growing electoral gains for parties in continental powerhouses such as Germany and France. These electoral advances mean that far-right forces “will have a strong role” going forward in European politics, according to Adrian Favero, an assistant professor of European politics at the University of Groningen. https://lnkd.in/dPQ-DgHk

While France's far-right is hailing the lead in the parliamentary election, it’s time for us to reflect on what catalyzes the shift in its political scene. I am excited to share that the research paper I co-wrote with other researchers from ITSS Verona on the rise of far-right in Europe, which was presented to members of the U.S. Department of State, Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), and USAID previously, is now publicly available. The rise of the far-right has been an increasingly relevant and timely issue, as demonstrated by the gradual election shift towards radicalism. To examine the threats of the far-right to democracy, our team has performed netnography on online channels of relevant parties or politicians, as well as practised semi-structured interviews to gather expert insights. As the Contributor to the section on France, I have examined the growing potential of far-right parties dominating the Legislative election and the risk that strategic ties between France and its Western allies could be weakened, a growing concern underscored by the recent first-round election results. More importantly, given France's significant economic and military power, any major political upheaval in France could impact the entire European continent and its transnational partners. Read our report 'The Rise of the Far-Right in Europe - Mapping Groups, Narratives, and Trends in Europe’s Far-Right Landscape' here: https://lnkd.in/eaDacwM4 ITSS Verona #france #itssverona

French election results indicate that the Le Pen brand remains too toxic for the National Rally (RN) to expand its electoral base. What we are seeing is also maybe for the first time fragmentation within RN, as they are analyzing reasons for failure in the 2nd round of French elections. At the same time, we see that different political forces in France are building capacity for coalition building and supporting common candidates. This will most likely play an important role in the upcoming French Presidential elections. This and many other issues were discussed in detail over the weekend. It was a great pleasure to have Martens Centre's yearly conference Think-In in Munich, hosted by the Hans Seidel Foundation, presented by Hanns Seidel Foundation European Brussels Office, where we discussed current political developments, including the pressing challenges facing the European Union, the above-mentioned French elections, foreign policy, defence, economy, and demography. We had especially interesting input from an external expert, Doru Peter Frantescu CEO and founder of EU Matrix, about the voting patterns in the European Parliament. Carl Udo Zolleis, Head of the EPP Group Strategy, gave an excellent analysis of the European political dynamics of the upcoming five years. We also discussed the US elections and the situation with President Biden's candidature. One scenario is that Biden is delaying his dropping out of the race until late July or early August to ensure that Kamala Harris will become the Democratic candidate without a challenger.   What do you think will happen to Biden's candidacy? #EU #strategy #Politics Thomas Leeb Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies Margherita Movarelli Julian Bonnici Panagiotis Kakolyris Marina Skordeli Eoin Drea, PhD Dimitar Lilkov Vít Novotný Dr George Vital Zammit marc Janssens Thomas Belligh Stere Stamule Jens Ahl Karl Sander Kase Fernando Sols Gonçalo Carriço Nathan Shepura Mark Strand Anna Nalyvayko Anna Rozniatowska-Fidos Gavin Synnott Panos Tasiopoulos Katerina Jakimovska Dr. Peter Hefele

With European politics in a state of flux, institutions are feeling the pressure to adapt and evolve. In his latest article, Pim Korsten explores three key issues that will influence the next European Parliament and Commission, and their potential impact on Europe's future. #EuropeanUnion #EU #Europe

The National Rally (RN) is expected to win 31.5% of the votes in the 2024 European elections in France, ahead of the Renaissance party led by Valérie Hayer and the left-wing alliance PS-Place publique led by Raphaël Glucksmann. This marks a new stage in the electoral dynamics of the nationalist right-wing party, which came second behind Renaissance in the presidential election in April 2022 with 41.5% of the vote in the second round. However, it is important to remain cautious about the exact size of the RN's lead, as the final results are not yet known. Other political parties will need to analyze these results to adjust their strategies for the next elections. Challenges for the new Parliament include immigration management, economic issues such as recovery, support for businesses, poverty fight, and defense of purchasing power, as well as the European Green Deal for the Green Transition. Support for Ukraine in the face of Russia, sanctions against Moscow, and strengthening a common European defense are also pressing issues for the next Parliament. In summary, this election should outline the new political lines of the European Union for the next five years on subjects such as the economy, environment, defense, and migration.