Victoria Vdovychenko’s Post

This report from the Hudson Institute offers some good ideas on how to beat Russia in Moldova. But the plan they suggest won't work. The West did all of these things in Ukraine, and it didn't keep Russia from invading Ukraine, and the West still isn't beating Russia in Ukraine (although it could if it wanted to). There really is only one way to beat Russia in Moldova. But the Moldovans would have to ask for it, and I doubt the Biden Administration would agree, given its fear of Russia. Put NATO troops in Moldova. If you want to deny territory to the enemy, you occupy that territory. This is a basic rule of warfare that the US/NATO continues to miss. #moldova Ashley Roque Lara Seligman Haley Britzky Joe Gould The Merge DefenseScoop Defense Brief Defense News Tony Capaccio Paul McLeary Connor O'Brien Jake Epstein Colin Demarest Valerie Insinna Breaking Defense Defensemirror.com The Defense Post Audrey Decker Atlantic Council Institute for the Study of War Institute for Defense Analyses Center for a New American Security (CNAS) Moldova Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration Luke Coffey https://lnkd.in/gG4NmZ2z

"Medvedev Warns of War if Ukraine Joins NATO: A Geopolitical Analysis" Medvedev's recent comments highlight the Kremlin's stern opposition to Ukraine's potential NATO membership. He warned that such a move would be perceived as a declaration of war by Moscow, exacerbating tensions. Medvedev's statements emphasize Russia's view of NATO expansion as a direct threat to its national security, despite NATO's assurances of support for Ukraine's Euro-Atlantic integration. His shift from a pro-Western stance to a more aggressive posture underscores the escalating rhetoric and potential risks involved in the ongoing conflict. Medvedev's recent comments highlight the Kremlin's stern opposition to Ukraine's potential NATO membership. He warned that such a move would be perceived as a declaration of war by Moscow, exacerbating tensions. Medvedev's statements emphasize Russia's view of NATO expansion as a direct threat to its national security, despite NATO's assurances of support for Ukraine's Euro-Atlantic integration. His shift from a pro-Western stance to a more aggressive posture underscores the escalating rhetoric and potential risks involved in the ongoing conflict. Read "Medvedev says Ukraine’s NATO membership would lead to war" on SmartNews: https://lnkd.in/gtkSk27s #Geopolitics #UkraineNATO #RussiaUkraineConflict #NATOExpansion #GlobalSecurity #EasternEurope #Diplomacy #NationalSecurity #InternationalRelations #NATO #Russia #Ukraine #PeaceAndConflict #StrategicInterests #NuclearRisk #EuroAtlanticIntegration #Medvedev

This is what President Trump is looking at in terms of ending the Ukraine War and negotiating a peace plan. Below is my brief analysis to expand and strengthen: The most important consequence of the Ukraine War is the new realignment of Europe: Iron Curtain 2.0- Russia and China on the border of NATO. China is the puppet master and largest beneficiary of the War in Ukraine. 1) The plan MUST prevent China from establishing a foothold in Europe. This is top priority. The most dangerous realignment in 75 years and since the end of World War II is on the horizon. A combined Russia and China force will be unstoppable. 2) Based on the map, they want to limit the buffer zone in Southeastern Ukraine [annexed territories] (Donetsk, Luhansk, etc.). However, the upper won’t be as feasible. Russia does NOT tolerate foreign forces directly on its border (alluding to the 1939 nonaggression pact). This means that half of the buffer zone will be extended inside Ukraine or it will completely isolate toward the bottom east of Ukraine (where the occupied territories are). 3) The strongest part of the plan is not allowing Ukraine to join NATO (because of what it translates to). Had that been proposed, Russia would have launched an Operation Bagration style offensive and occupied Ukraine east of the Dnieper. Meaning, the entire east of Ukraine would be a buffer zone (like Poland from 1939-1941) and Kiev would be divided into occupation zones like Berlin was after World War II.  4) Most importantly, World War II knowledge is ESSENTIAL for peace negotiation and decision making. The lessons DIRECTLY apply here. This also emphasizes the magnitude of fight regarding conventional war with Russia. President Trump’s policy is to prevent World War III. This can be done by learning and applying lessons from World War II. [Nothing has been confirmed, plan could be subject to change]. #usa #war #ukraine #russia #europe #peace #military #nato

Medvedev's statements reflect a deeply entrenched view within the Russian leadership that NATO's expansion, particularly to include Ukraine, is a red line that threatens Russia's strategic interests. Here are some key points to consider in a geopolitical analysis: 1. Historical Context: - Russia has long viewed NATO's eastward expansion as a direct threat to its sphere of influence and security. The idea of Ukraine, a former Soviet republic, joining NATO is particularly sensitive due to historical, cultural, and geopolitical ties. 2. Strategic Interests: - Ukraine holds significant strategic value for Russia, not just as a buffer state but also due to its access to the Black Sea and its role in regional security dynamics. NATO membership would shift the balance of power in the region. 3. NATO's Position: - NATO has consistently supported Ukraine's sovereignty and right to self-defense, especially after Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the ongoing conflict in Eastern Ukraine. The alliance's commitment to Ukraine's Euro-Atlantic integration signals a strong stance against Russian aggression. 4. Risk of Escalation: - Medvedev’s rhetoric suggests a heightened risk of escalation, including potential military conflict, if Ukraine's NATO membership were to proceed. His mention of a "nuclear apocalypse" indicates the severe consequences that Russia is willing to contemplate. 5. Internal Russian Dynamics: - Medvedev's transformation from a pro-Western leader to a hawkish figure mirrors a broader trend in Russian politics where hardline stances gain prominence. This shift can be seen as a response to internal pressures and a way to consolidate power by appealing to nationalist sentiments. 6. International Reactions: - Western nations, particularly the U.S. and European allies, face a complex challenge in balancing support for Ukraine with the need to avoid a direct military confrontation with Russia. Diplomatic efforts will be crucial in managing this delicate balance. 7. Implications for Global Security: - The potential for Ukraine's NATO membership to trigger a broader conflict underscores the importance of multilateral dialogue and conflict resolution mechanisms. The situation has significant implications for global security, particularly in terms of nuclear risks and regional stability. In summary, Medvedev's remarks underscore the volatile nature of the Russia-Ukraine-NATO dynamic. The path forward requires careful navigation to support Ukraine's sovereignty while mitigating the risk of escalation into a larger conflict. #Geopolitics #UkraineNATO #RussiaUkraineConflict #NATOExpansion #GlobalSecurity #EasternEurope #Diplomacy #NationalSecurity #InternationalRelations #NATO #Russia #Ukraine #PeaceAndConflict #StrategicInterests #NuclearRisk #EuroAtlanticIntegration #Medvedev

The situation between Russia, Ukraine, and Western powers is complex and dynamic, involving geopolitical strategies, security concerns, and historical grievances. Here are some insights into the possible dynamics: 1. Russian Strategic Concerns: Russia views Ukraine as a crucial buffer zone and historically considers it within its sphere of influence. The prospect of Ukraine joining NATO raises significant security concerns for Russia, as it perceives NATO's expansion eastward as a direct threat. 2. Military and Political Influence: Russia has demonstrated its willingness to use military force and political influence to maintain its interests in Ukraine, particularly evident in the annexation of Crimea and support for separatist movements in Eastern Ukraine. 3. Diplomatic and Economic Leverage: Russia employs a range of diplomatic and economic tools to influence Ukraine's internal affairs, including energy supplies, trade relations, and support for political factions sympathetic to Moscow. 4. Western Support for Ukraine: Western powers, including the United States and European Union, support Ukraine's sovereignty and right to choose its alliances, including potential NATO membership. This support includes economic aid, military assistance, and diplomatic backing. 5. Potential Scenarios: The future could involve ongoing proxy conflicts, diplomatic negotiations, economic pressures, and efforts to find a balance that ensures Ukraine's sovereignty while addressing Russia's security concerns. A direct military confrontation between NATO and Russia remains unlikely due to the risks involved, including nuclear escalation. Ultimately, the situation is fluid, and outcomes will depend on the actions and decisions of all parties involved, along with international efforts to find diplomatic solutions that reduce tensions and promote stability in Eastern Europe. #Geopolitics #UkraineNATO #RussiaUkraineConflict #NATOExpansion #GlobalSecurity #EasternEurope #Diplomacy #NationalSecurity #InternationalRelations #NATO #Russia #Ukraine #PeaceAndConflict #StrategicInterests #NuclearRisk #EuroAtlanticIntegration #Medvedev

My latest. “Much time has been lost. Many opportunities for preemption, deterrence and collective action have been squandered. It is past time for NATO to stop Russia. Why is swift, pathbreaking action imperative? For moral reasons.Will NATO really allow Russia’s genocidal campaign to continue on in the heart of Europe? Does “never again” mean anything? For existential reasons. Russia threatens not just Ukraine, but democracies across Europe and beyond. Are NATO countries willing to risk their security and way of life for a temporary reprieve? For peace and stability. Russia brings war, mayhem and trauma everywhere it goes. Would NATO gamble on an elusive compromise with Russia when Putin always uses purported “peace processes” to buy time and cover for more war and aggression? To save what is left of the post-World War II world order. The emboldened Russia-China-Iran axis seeks a new world order dominated by authoritarians. Will NATO miss the chance to send the axis an unambiguous signal and setback by acting decisively against Russia?” #NATO #Russia #Ukraine

What started as a #decouping from #China and an #economic war with #Russia , has developed to a Cold War between the #West and the #quartet . Are those the first signs of a hot war , a World War III ? What would the effect of the new #US presidency ? U.S. can potentially force Ukraine to make concede but U.S. stance to China is only to become more agressive. Europe has a plan ?

THINGS IN THE WORLD… In case you haven’t noticed, Russian aggression in Ukraine 🇺🇦 may well spread to other European countries. This possibility stimulated previously-neutral Finland and Sweden to join NATO. Now, with US assistance to Ukraine paralysed by pro-Russian reptilian Republican blocking, Europe and the world, including Australia, is thinking deeply about their geopolitical disposition as the US abdicates its political leadership of the Western world. Were Trump to be elected this November, expect nations to go through a period of political and military realignment. Trump said recently the US will not intervene if Russia attacks NATO nations. A Trump presidency would lead to Australian distrust of the US (it already exists thanks to Republicans blocking assistance to Ukraine) and even if Trump says he would stand by the Australia-US alliance, distrust would fester and probably trigger a realignment of Australia in its region. Following Russian comments about reclaiming the nations it subjugated during the Soviet period, European NATO nations are looking to their mutual defence. Hence this call from NATO leadership. Sweden already has a program advising citizens how to stock up on essentials. Just in case. The post-Cold War era of peace has ended. Now is the time of wolves. #geopolitics #NATO #europe #war #russia #ukraine #ukrainewar #defence #prepping

NATO is ready to receive Ukraine. Ukraine is positioning to join NATO. Going by the level of damages done to Ukraine by Russia. Ukraine is not likely to consider any other option than to join NATO. Putin is a wizardry genius, powerful in the class of Adolf Hitler, if not more than. NATO wants to keep an eagle eye on Russia. Putin has just secured another 6 years term, NATO is feeling insured with Putin’s power & longevity. Without strategic decisions, war could escalate further. Donald Trump demonstrates the wherewithal to negotiate a ceasefire between Russia/Ukraine & Israel/Palestine. The forthcoming USA Presidential election is pivotal for global peace & decorum. The policy thrust of who becomes the next USA President will be crucial in dissolving or escalating the tension in international politics of power, crisis & war.