Public Opinion Shifts in the US, Italy and Arab world
1️⃣ Datasets provide rich insights into diverse attitudes towards the Israel/Palestine conflict across different demographic and political groups in the US, Italy and among the Arab population.
2️⃣ It reveals shifts in sentiment, political divides, and contrasting perceptions, all of which can be instrumental in predicting future trends and potential decision-making outcomes.
3️⃣ The data reveals a significant shift in the US public opinion towards greater support for Israel. Notably, this shift is seen across Democrats, Independents, and Republicans, with the increase in support for Israel being approximately 17 percentage points for Democrats and Independents, and a more substantial 31 points for Republicans between June and October.
4️⃣ However, it's crucial to note that the majority of Democrats and Independents still opt for "neither" when asked to choose a side.
5️⃣ The unchanged support for Palestinians, coupled with shifts from 'neither' to supporting Israel, implies that the narrative favoring Israel is gaining traction in the US. Policymakers who align their stance with this trend (Trump and, to a lesser extent, Biden) may gain political capital, while those who oppose it might face challenges.
6️⃣ The Italian perspective presents a more divided stance, with a significant number expressing concern about the conflict's escalation and humanitarian impact. The varying views based on political affiliations echo the US trend, and the strong call for mediation indicates a desire for a peaceful resolution.
7️⃣ The low trust in the Hamas government and the economic hardship in Gaza could lead to social unrest or calls for leadership change under Israeli pressure.
8️⃣ The widespread view that Israel uses disproportionate force against Palestinians, coupled with the desire for greater government support for Palestinians, is a potential source of tension between Arab governments and their populations.
SOURCES
Israele-Palestina, opinioni degli italiani, Ipsos, 7 November 2023
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